Both of these essays seek to identify the key mobilizers of Radical Right Populist Party success in Western Europe in recent decades. This first study conducts a cross-sectional analysis of every Western European national election in and around 2002, where a populist party received a minimum threshold of 5% of the national vote. The unit of analysis in this study is the Populist Party’s mandate. The hypothesis of the paper is that it is necessary for populist parties to mobilize grievances of immigration policy if these parties are to achieve electoral legitimacy.
The Independent variable of the study is, mobilization of the immigration grievance while the dependant variable is electoral success. The study seeks to measure the independent variable by breaking down Populist Party support into three variables: economic changes, political elitism/corruption, and immigration.
The study resorts to two tests. The first unite all qualifying Populist Parties. The second measures the strength of association between the three mobilizers. The findings of the test indicate that there have been instances of Populist Party success with the mobilization of only the immigration grievance variable and no others. Whereas there have been no instances of Populist Party success when the immigration grievance variable has not been mobilized. In light of this, the study concludes that a Western European Populist Party must mobilize the immigration grievance if it is to meet electoral success.
I argue that, based on these findings alone, this is a fallible conclusion. The study does not discuss the political and economic climates of the concerned states. It is possible that those Populist Parties that failed to address economic changes and political elitism/ corruption operated in states with robust economies and benevolent politicians. If this where the case, any proposed reform in these areas would likely have a negative value. Likewise, the study does not rule out the possibility that a Populist Party operating in a state with a weak economy and corrupt government could rise to power by focusing solely on reform in these areas while ignoring immigration grievances.
The second study I have chosen also measures the means to Populist Party success in Western Europe. It employs a time-series analysis over a three-year period and covering most of Western European Populist Party success.
Rather than designating party mandate as the unit of analysis as has the study above, this study has chosen to instead analyze individual voter preferences via national public surveys. The hypothesis of this study is that dissatisfaction with politics is the main mobilizer behind Populist Party support in Western Europe.
The study surveys consist of six indices measuring, exclusion, Euro-skepticism, satisfaction with politics, attitudes towards redistribution, attitudes towards environmental protection, and attitudes towards public sector size. All of which have a value range form 1 to 5 indicating level of importance.
The data pulled form the surveys have been used to demonstrate that the hypothesis of the study to be indeed correct.
However, there is a potential flaw in the data. This is because the survey was not conducted at the international level. Rather, each individual aggregate state was given its own tailored survey to compensate for any social / political variance between states. Although this approach does hove its merit, it means that the data cannot be directly compared, which, under some circumstances could discredit the findings of the study.