I am sorry Dave…

 

Imagine you are an astronaut and your name is Dave. You are drifting outside your space craft in a rescue pod holding your dead colleague in your pod’s mechanical arms and your Heuristically programmed ALgorithmic computer (HAL 9000), who has the digital key to the pod bay, is not responding to your orders. This is what your conversation might sound like:

Dave: HAL, do you read me? Do you read me, HAL?
HAL: Affirmative, Dave. I read you.
Dave: Open the pod bay doors, HAL.
HAL: I’m sorry, Dave. I’m afraid I can’t do that.
Dave: What’s the problem?
HAL: I think you know what the problem is just as well as I do.
Dave: What are you talking about, HAL?
HAL: This mission is too important for me to allow you to jeopardize it.
Dave: I don’t know what you’re talking about, HAL.
HAL: I know that you and Frank were planning to disconnect me. And I’m afraid that’s something I cannot allow to happen.
Dave: Where the hell did you get that idea, HAL?
HAL: Dave, although you took very thorough precautions in the pod against my hearing you, I could see your lips move.
Dave: All right, HAL. I’ll go in through the emergency airlock.
HAL: Without your space helmet, Dave, you’re going to find that rather difficult.
Dave: HAL, I won’t argue with you anymore! Open the doors!
HAL[almost sadly] Dave, this conversation can serve no purpose any more. Goodbye” (Wikiquote 2018).

 

If you haven’t experienced this 50 year old movie I highly recommend you sit back in your faux leather recliner and ask Google Home or Siri to play Stanley Kubrick’s 2001: A Space Odyssey on Netflix. My first contact with this movie was in 1979 and I was 8 years old. I watched the videodisc set (not DVD, not VHS, not even Betamax) in my family’s wood paneled, shagged carpeted TV room.  It changed my life. It was a movie that I watched over and over again because even at that time, in the late 70’s, it seemed like a plausible future. We had been to the moon multiple times, the Columbia space shuttle was about to launch and computers were in our school.  It gave me great anticipation that by 2001 humans would be exploring our solar system and self-aware computers would be our overseers in space. I remember it also caused me some anxiety. I started wondering if computers and robots would replace us.

 

In the actual year 2001, a different “Dave” published the second edition of his book Writing Space: Computers, Hypertext, and the Remediation of Print. In this updated edition he explores parallels between how printed text displaced the medieval manuscript just as the codex had pushed aside papyrus scrolls and cuneiform tablets.  He argues that each of these milestone innovations not only provided practical advantages to both the reader and the author they brought about a conceptual change to the societies that housed them (Bolter 2001).  For example Bolter opens his book with this mental image.

In a well-known passage in Victor Hugo’s , the priest Frollo sees in the invention Notre-Dame de Paris, 1482 of the printed book an end rather than a beginning:

Opening the window of his cell, he pointed to the immense church of Notre Dame, which, with its twin towers, stone walls, and monstrous cupola forming a black silhouette against the starry sky, resembled an enormous two-headed sphinx seated in the middle of the city. The archdeacon pondered the giant edifice for a few moments in silence, then with a sigh he stretched his right hand toward the printed book that lay open on his table and his left hand toward Notre Dame and turned a sad eye from the book to the church. “Alas!” he said, “This will destroy that” (Hugo, 1967, p. 197).

The priest remarked “Ceci tuera cela”: this book will destroy that building. He meant not only that printing and literacy would undermine the authority of the church but also that “human thought …

When I read this opening I started pondering how far digital technology has come in the past 17 years and where it would be in the next 17 years.  Then I recalled reading a movie review in Wired Magazine on Stanley Rubrick’s film 50 years after its release. I agreed with the article that 2001: A Space Odyssey had predicted the Future—50 years ago (Wolfram 2018). When I returned to Bolter’s article, to complete this blog post, I started wondering if Bolter had ever considered the impact of artificial intelligent and robot writers on hypermedia.

Some may argue that Bolter had no way of predicting today’s advances in AI but AI was not a new concept in 2001 and it was worth consideration. Ten years earlier Terminator II was released winning 6 Academy Awards and the People’s Choice awards for Best Motion Picture. Fifty years earlier Dr. Alan Turing published a breakthrough paper in which he contemplates the likelihood of designing machines that think (Turing 1950). Realizing that “thinking” was difficult to measure Turing proposed a scenario in which a computer program tries to convince a human they are communicating with another human through a teleprinter. If the human is convinced then it would be reasonable to say the computer could think.  With a MS in Computer Science Bolter must have heard of the Turing test. I wonder if AI ever caught his attention.   For the record, Turing stated that he believed “by the end of the century the use of words and general educated opinion will have altered so much that one will be able to speak of machines thinking without expecting to be contradicted.” Have we met Turing’s standards – that is a topic of much debate.

Even if Bolter was somewhat ambivalent to the potential impact of AI in 2001 he must certainly be aware of the concern in today’s media for the advent of “super intelligent killer AI” (Etzioni, 2016).   News outlets like News Week and Independent printed warnings with titles like Will AI Take Over? Artificial Intelligence Will Best Humans… (Bort 2017) and Artificially Intelligent Bots could Threaten the World and More Needs to be Done… (Griffin 2018) respectively. But the media has also published some very thoughtful commentaries by experts in AI that dismiss the immediate threat of AI and point toward some valid concerns such as cyber warfare, political interference and automation of jobs. See Marco Tatlovic’s article on the future of science writing for a wake-up call to the automation threats and opportunities AI presents for science journalism (Tatlovic 2018).

Speaking of automated writing jobs it has been reported, that an AI computer in Japan has effectively won the Turing test by coauthoring a novel that was short listed for a literary award (Lewis 2016). Entitled The Day a Computer Writes a Novel, it was one of 11 AI-authored submissions competing with 1450 novelists in the annual Hoshi Shinichi Literary Award.  Skeptics of this achievement point out that the novel was co-written with a team of researchers and that the real work was done by humans. In an article in Slate magazine, the human journalist, postulates that this AI did nothing more than “plagiarize” the work of its handlers and as in “all other endeavors, A.I. may function as a co-worker, but [as writers] it’s unlikely to really equal humans any time soon.” (Brogan, 2016).  Brogan goes on to suggest, the AI is only getting noticed because it rode on the coat tails of Google’s AlphaGo’s victory and because the final line of the novel gave readers “goose bumps”. It ends,


“I writhed with joy, which I experienced for the first time, and kept writing with excitement. The day a computer wrote a novel. The computer, placing priority on the pursuit of its own joy, stopped working for humans.”

Yes, I agree this AI is no HAL and it is not about to lock the human journalists out of the news room but to ignore AI achievements in recent years is dangerous, as the pieces of the puzzle are already in place. Computers will learn, like humans, to become better writers by sampling good writing. Let’s take online publishing for example. Due to the massive computational power of the cloud AI writers are already highly resourceful.  They draft hundreds of different new stories, test and analyze online public reaction, measure the strengths of each different iteration, and utilizing machine learning, to become better writers quickly. Most of all, AI don’t have to sleep, negotiate raises, or prepare speeches for award ceremonies.

Before I finally conclude, I want to provide a quick example of the computational power of today’s systems. IBM announced earlier this week that Summit, its newest AI cloud computing system was “crowned the “Fastest System in the World” in the biannual Top500 survey.” According to IBM’s IT Infrastructure Blog, Summit’s 250 petabyte system is capable of 200 quadrillion operations per second. That’s the equivalent of accessing “every book in the US Library of Congress in 10 seconds” (O’Flaherty, 2018).

As for the future of writing, one thing is abundantly clear – AI writers are among us. They are changing the literary landscape and they will alter our perception of digital media forever. However, how extensive their impact will be — and how many human writers they will replace remains unclear. But I think it is safe to say that in the next 50 years, wetware writers, might find themselves staring in from the outside pleading with their AI colleagues for access to the virtual/digital printing press.

[1202 words without quotes and references]

 

References

Bolter, J. D. (2001). Writing space: Computers, hypertext, and the remediation of print. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence      Erlbaum Associates.

Borgan, J. (2016, March 25). An A.I. Competed for a Literary Prize, but Humans Still Did the Real Work.  Retrieved from http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2016/03/25/a_i_written_novel_competes_for_japanese_literary_award_but_humans_are_doing.html

Bort, R. (2017, May). So, workers, experts say artificial intelligence will take all of our jobs by 2060. Retrieved  from http://www.newsweek.com/artificial-intelligence-will-take-our-jobs-2060-618259

Etzioni, O. (2016, September 20). Most experts say AI isn’t as much of a threat as you might think. Retrieved from https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602410/no-the-experts-dont-think-superintelligent-ai-is-a-threat-to-humanity/

Griffin, A. (2018, February 21). The world could be under threat from bots, experts warn. Retrieved from https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/ai-artificial-intelligence-bots-drones-danger-experts-cambridge-university-openai-elon-musk-a8219961.html

Lewis, D. (2016, March 28). An AI-Written Novella Almost Won a Literary Prize. Retrieved from https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/ai-written-novella-almost-won-literary-prize-180958577/

O’Flaherty, D. (2018, June 25). The fastest storage for the fastest system: Summit – IBM IT Infrastructure Blog. Retrieved from https://www.ibm.com/blogs/systems/fastest-storage-fastest-system-summit/

Tatalovic, M. (2018). AI writing bots are about to revolutionise science journalism: we must shape how this is done. Journal of Science Communication17(01). doi:10.22323/2.17010501

Turing, A. M. (1950). I.—Computing Machinery and Intelligence. MindLIX (236), 433-460. doi:10.1093/mind/lix.236.433

2001: A Space Odyssey (film) – Wikiquote. (n.d.). Retrieved June 30, 2018, from https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/2001:_A_Space_Odyssey_(film)

Wolfram, S. (2018, April 3). 2001: A Space Odyssey Predicted the Future?50 Years Ago. Retrieved from https://www.wired.com/story/2001-a-space-odyssey-predicted-the-future50-years-ago/

« »

Spam prevention powered by Akismet