{"id":347,"date":"2014-12-01T17:43:21","date_gmt":"2014-12-02T00:43:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/?page_id=347"},"modified":"2014-12-02T00:23:03","modified_gmt":"2014-12-02T07:23:03","slug":"abstract","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/","title":{"rendered":"Abstract"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/files\/2014\/11\/fire_cover.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25 size-large aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/files\/2014\/11\/fire_cover-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"fire_cover\" width=\"604\" height=\"453\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/files\/2014\/11\/fire_cover-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/files\/2014\/11\/fire_cover-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Wild fires in BC are likely to increase in intensity and size due to climate change and unprecedented levels of pest infestation. Predicting\u00a0fire behaviour is complicated due to the large number of factors that control fire ignition and fire spreading. Using various\u00a0publicly available historical fire,\u00a0pest, topography, and climate data, this project develops two multiple linear regression (MLR) models to predict natural fire spreading in BC. With\u00a0careful spatial interpolation and\u00a0proper transformation of the data, such MLR models can be developed with a good coefficient of determination of 50%\u00a0~ 60%. In general, aspect and spring\u00a0temperatures are the most influential factors of summer fire spreading.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"Introduction\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/introduction\/\">Jump to Introduction<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wild fires in BC are likely to increase in intensity and size due to climate change and unprecedented levels of pest infestation. Predicting\u00a0fire behaviour is complicated due to the large number of factors that control fire ignition and fire spreading. Using various\u00a0publicly available historical fire,\u00a0pest, topography, and climate data, this project develops two multiple linear [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18801,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-347","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/347","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18801"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=347"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/347\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":394,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/347\/revisions\/394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}