{"id":73,"date":"2014-11-26T17:19:25","date_gmt":"2014-11-27T00:19:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/?page_id=73"},"modified":"2014-12-01T13:43:36","modified_gmt":"2014-12-01T20:43:36","slug":"statistical-analysis","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/results\/statistical-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistical Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"

Model 1: Fire Spreading Potential with 3-year-prior Mountain Pine Beetle Infestation as a Predictive Variable<\/span><\/h2>\n

The GLM Procedure<\/span><\/p>\n

Dependent Variable: SizeHA<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Source<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDF<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nSum of Squares<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMean Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nF Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0F<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Model<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n9<\/span><\/td>\n422.9978563<\/span><\/td>\n46.9997618<\/span><\/td>\n26.61<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Error<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n155<\/span><\/td>\n273.7724656<\/span><\/td>\n1.7662740<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Corrected Total<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n164<\/span><\/td>\n696.7703219<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
R-Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCoeff Var<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nRoot MSE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nSizeHA\u00a0Mean<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
0.607084<\/span><\/td>\n47.74389<\/span><\/td>\n1.329012<\/span><\/td>\n2.783628<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Source<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDF<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nType III SS<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMean Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nF Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0F<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
EASTING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n44.4672451<\/span><\/td>\n44.4672451<\/span><\/td>\n25.18<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtEasting<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n52.7388668<\/span><\/td>\n52.7388668<\/span><\/td>\n29.86<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SOUTHING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n105.6822587<\/span><\/td>\n105.6822587<\/span><\/td>\n59.83<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtSouthing<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n124.8646083<\/span><\/td>\n124.8646083<\/span><\/td>\n70.69<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IBM_2007<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n17.2721928<\/span><\/td>\n17.2721928<\/span><\/td>\n9.78<\/span><\/td>\n0.0021<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLOPE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n19.3962967<\/span><\/td>\n19.3962967<\/span><\/td>\n10.98<\/span><\/td>\n0.0011<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PPT_sm<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n8.9468396<\/span><\/td>\n8.9468396<\/span><\/td>\n5.07<\/span><\/td>\n0.0258<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tave_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n9.9448637<\/span><\/td>\n9.9448637<\/span><\/td>\n5.63<\/span><\/td>\n0.0189<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tmin_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n14.2468223<\/span><\/td>\n14.2468223<\/span><\/td>\n8.07<\/span><\/td>\n0.0051<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Parameter<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nEstimate<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nStandard Error<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nt\u00a0Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0|t|<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Intercept<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-3.65134066<\/span><\/td>\n1.49000450<\/span><\/td>\n-2.45<\/span><\/td>\n0.0154<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EASTING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-9.34766982<\/span><\/td>\n1.86299756<\/span><\/td>\n-5.02<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtEasting<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n7.86375958<\/span><\/td>\n1.43910958<\/span><\/td>\n5.46<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SOUTHING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-13.25953401<\/span><\/td>\n1.71417933<\/span><\/td>\n-7.74<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtSouthing<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n11.46772119<\/span><\/td>\n1.36391241<\/span><\/td>\n8.41<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IBM_2007<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n0.00842460<\/span><\/td>\n0.00269404<\/span><\/td>\n3.13<\/span><\/td>\n0.0021<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLOPE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n0.04633359<\/span><\/td>\n0.01398188<\/span><\/td>\n3.31<\/span><\/td>\n0.0011<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PPT_sm<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-0.00489876<\/span><\/td>\n0.00217661<\/span><\/td>\n-2.25<\/span><\/td>\n0.0258<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tave_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n0.49588887<\/span><\/td>\n0.20898445<\/span><\/td>\n2.37<\/span><\/td>\n0.0189<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tmin_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-0.65333597<\/span><\/td>\n0.23004172<\/span><\/td>\n-2.84<\/span><\/td>\n0.0051<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"model1\"<\/a> \"model1b\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

Model 2: Fire Spreading Potential without Mountain Pine Beetle Infestation as Predictive Variable<\/span><\/h2>\n

The GLM Procedure<\/span><\/p>\n

Dependent Variable: SizeHA<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Source<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDF<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nSum of Squares<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMean Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nF Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0F<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Model<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n7<\/span><\/td>\n388.4324746<\/span><\/td>\n55.4903535<\/span><\/td>\n28.25<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Error<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n157<\/span><\/td>\n308.3378473<\/span><\/td>\n1.9639353<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Corrected Total<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n164<\/span><\/td>\n696.7703219<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
R-Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCoeff Var<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nRoot MSE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nSizeHA\u00a0Mean<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
0.557476<\/span><\/td>\n50.34453<\/span><\/td>\n1.401405<\/span><\/td>\n2.783628<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Source<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDF<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nType III SS<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMean Square<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nF Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0F<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
EASTING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n54.9456856<\/span><\/td>\n54.9456856<\/span><\/td>\n27.98<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtEasting<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n66.2640091<\/span><\/td>\n66.2640091<\/span><\/td>\n33.74<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SOUTHING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n107.9368153<\/span><\/td>\n107.9368153<\/span><\/td>\n54.96<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtSouthing<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n127.6374948<\/span><\/td>\n127.6374948<\/span><\/td>\n64.99<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLOPE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n18.1921823<\/span><\/td>\n18.1921823<\/span><\/td>\n9.26<\/span><\/td>\n0.0027<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tave_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n12.1845318<\/span><\/td>\n12.1845318<\/span><\/td>\n6.20<\/span><\/td>\n0.0138<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tmin_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1<\/span><\/td>\n12.6640162<\/span><\/td>\n12.6640162<\/span><\/td>\n6.45<\/span><\/td>\n0.0121<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Parameter<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nEstimate<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nStandard Error<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nt\u00a0Value<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPr\u00a0>\u00a0|t|<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Intercept<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-3.92951509<\/span><\/td>\n1.55293406<\/span><\/td>\n-2.53<\/span><\/td>\n0.0124<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EASTING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-10.31452654<\/span><\/td>\n1.95005155<\/span><\/td>\n-5.29<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtEasting<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.73133750<\/span><\/td>\n1.50316105<\/span><\/td>\n5.81<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SOUTHING<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-13.39768504<\/span><\/td>\n1.80720973<\/span><\/td>\n-7.41<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
sqrtSouthing<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n11.58550996<\/span><\/td>\n1.43710868<\/span><\/td>\n8.06<\/span><\/td>\n<.0001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SLOPE<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n0.04378938<\/span><\/td>\n0.01438765<\/span><\/td>\n3.04<\/span><\/td>\n0.0027<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tave_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n0.54572363<\/span><\/td>\n0.21909473<\/span><\/td>\n2.49<\/span><\/td>\n0.0138<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tmin_sp<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n-0.61157995<\/span><\/td>\n0.24084138<\/span><\/td>\n-2.54<\/span><\/td>\n0.0121<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\"model2\"<\/a> \"model2b\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Return to Methods<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Model 1: Fire Spreading Potential with 3-year-prior Mountain Pine Beetle Infestation as a Predictive Variable The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: SizeHA Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr\u00a0>\u00a0F Model 9 422.9978563 46.9997618 26.61 <.0001 Error 155 273.7724656 1.7662740 \u00a0 \u00a0 Corrected Total 164 696.7703219 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 R-Square Coeff Var Root […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18801,"featured_media":0,"parent":17,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-73","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/73","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18801"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/73\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":319,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/73\/revisions\/319"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/17"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/firemodel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}