Week 3: The road ahead

On Friday, Informa said the USDA will likely raise its corn and soybean production forecast. Moreover, Commodity brokerage INTL FCStone also raised its corn and soybean forecasts last week as harvest reports topped expectations.

Therefore, I believe that both soybean and corn prices would shift down next week, I will short on both soybean and corn.

The wheat market, however, is being supported by supply concerns arising out of Australia where the crop is suffering from lack of moisture. Australia’s wheat production is likely to decline from the government’s most recent estimate. I suggest go long on wheat contract.

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