Vancouver’s home sales have dropped more than 30% from last September to this September. In essence, the asking price for houses hasn’t really gone up, but the mortgage has. The government has “recently eliminated the availability of a 30-year amortization on government-insured mortgages,” thus decreasing demand cause some potential buyers cannot afford it now.
One way to tell the increasing price of housing is the percentage increase in listings from last year to this year, a 14% increase. As Sal Guatieri of BMO Nesbitt Burns says, sales will continue to drop as buyers seek revenge after the decade-long boom of the 2000s.
However, where exactly is Canada’s housing market going? With the inevitable sliding of Vancouver’s market and the increase in Calgary (climbed 14.4% from September of last year). As well, what will happen to the condo situation in Toronto, they can’t just keep producing and selling, it has to stop at one point.
I think we must appreciate Jim Flaherty’s management of the situation, his recent tightening of mortgage regulations have decreased risk of a crash and will likely result in a progressive decrease in sales. His intention was set on high-end home buyers, particularly in Toronto, to reconsider before jumping into the market in order to avoid a future crash in the market.
As for Vancouverites, we’ll just keep our dead money in our houses! Or sell them and profit.