I never thought I would see the day when Netflix was in trouble, sure there has always been competition to the company from free online streaming sites and Apple TV yet Netflix’s presence in all of our lives has been pretty set in stone for a few years now. In fact, one could say that they have created an economic moat with their leading streaming subscription. However, the headline catching the eyes and ears of the general public is that Netflix is facing competitive threats from Disney and the results are already obvious. Based on Nasdaq’s report, as of November 10, 2017 Netflix’s stock has declined by 0.98%, a fall mainly due to Disney’s release of information on its Netflix-like streaming service.
Another student’s blog post “The Struggle to Remain Relevant” gives useful insight into what exactly Disney’s plan entails. The basis is that Disney has enlisted the help of tech company BamTech which has created many streaming platforms for other media companies. Disney plans to pull their content from other streaming services such as Netflix and create two of their own new platforms. One revolved around Disney original movies and TV shows and another for ESPN which is owned by Disney. This new Disney site fits perfectly with the new trend of the younger generation of children who use an iPad as a toy, now they will have a video steaming service (accessible on iPads) that is solely focused on children.
What does this mean for Netflix in the long run? While it may seem like Netflix will fall and struggle to recover based on the short run, an article on Motley Fool explains that Netflix will remain relatively unharmed by the time Disney’s new service rolls around. Netflix is spending a lot on content, specifically is spelled out $6 billion in content this year, and has a goal of $7 million to $8 million next year, moreover by the time Disney launches their new sites Netflix may well be spending $10 billion a year on content. An amount that Disney let alone other competitors will not be able to match (Munarriz, 2017).
Figure 1: Netflix Inc.
Figure 2: Walt Disney Company
The tables above show the expected earnings growth over the next five years for Netflix Inc. and the Walt Disney company. Analysts at Nasdaq expect earnings to grow at an annual rate of 26.67% for Netflix which is much higher than expectations of their competitor which is expected to grow earnings at an average annual rate of 7.27%. In full, I believe it is safe to say we can all rest easy knowing that if anything Netflix is going to grow in the coming years.
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References
Duberstein, B. (2017, November 11). Amazon Is Winning the Battle for the Connected Household. Retrieved November 12, 2017, from http://www.nasdaq.com/article/amazon-is-winning-the-battle-for-the-connected-household-cm875923
Munarriz, R. (2017, November 11). Netflix Doesnt Have to Lose for Disney to Win in Streaming. Retrieved November 12, 2017, from http://www.nasdaq.com/article/netflix-doesnt-have-to-lose-for-disney-to-win-in-streaming-cm875908
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Forecast Earnings Growth. (2017, November 10). Retrieved November 12, 2017, from http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/nflx/earnings-growth
Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Forecast Earnings Growth. (2017, November 10). Retrieved November 12, 2017, from http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/dis/earnings-growth