{"id":1484,"date":"2022-12-07T17:58:43","date_gmt":"2022-12-08T00:58:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/?p=1484"},"modified":"2023-04-14T19:34:48","modified_gmt":"2023-04-15T02:34:48","slug":"business-and-climate-case-for-heat-pumps-across-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/ceen2022capstoneprojects\/business-and-climate-case-for-heat-pumps-across-canada","title":{"rendered":"Business and Climate Case for Heat Pumps Across Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-large-font-size\">Siya Ulsha | MEL Candidate | Dec 16, 2022<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Mentor: <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Tom<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Pierre Frapp\u00e9<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">S\u00e9n\u00e9clauze, <\/span>Pembina Institute<\/p>\n<h2>Abstract<\/h2>\n<div class=\"Page-container\">\n<div id=\"page-0\" class=\"Page PageComponent\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"Draw Draw--not-drawing Draw--selection\">\n<div class=\"TextLayer-container\">\n<div class=\"textLayer\"><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Canada has around 480,000 commercial and institutional buildings, including <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">offices, retail <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">establishments, and warehouses, in addition to over 15 million residential <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">structures.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">A<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">significant portion of Canada&#8217;s energy demand, or around 25% of all final <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">energy consumption, comes from the buildings sector. The climate in Canada has a <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">significant <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">impact on how much energy is used for things like heating <\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">(<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">and cooling<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">)<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">, <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">which account for about 65% of the energy used in this sector.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Hence, to attain the <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">climate targets decarbonization of this heating load is necessary<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">. <\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">For a number of <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">uses, including both new residences and retrofits of old heating and cooling systems, <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">heat pumps can be a great option<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">due to:<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"textLayer\"><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">\u2022<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">In Canada, heat pumps are a <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">proven<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">technol<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">ogy that can control your home&#8217;s <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">temperature throughout the year by delivering heat in the winter, cooling in the <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">summer, and in certain circumstances, heating hot water.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"textLayer\"><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">\u2022<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">The ongoing increase in renewable electricity generation will make heat pumps <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">the optimal choice for the future.<\/span> <br class=\"textLayer--absolute\" role=\"presentation\" \/><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">\u2022<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">As the incremental cost to switch from a cooling<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">only\/ Heating only system to a <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">heat <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">pump is relatively minimal, they are also an option for replacing old HVAC <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">systems.<\/span> <br class=\"textLayer--absolute\" role=\"presentation\" \/><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">\u2022<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">The way heat pumps work is different. Thermal energy is transferred between <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">two sites using the heat pump&#8217;s input energy. Due to this, heat pumps typically <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">run at efficienc<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">y well above 100%, meaning that more thermal energy is <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">generated than is required to pump the heat.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"textLayer\"><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Geography has a significant positive impact on Canada&#8217;s electricity production <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">industry. Nearly 80% of generation <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">can be regarded as non<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">emitting<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">At the same time <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">n<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">ot all provinces and territories have adopted renewable energy equally, and their <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">electricity grids are not well<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">&#8211;<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">connected. As a result, the carbon footprint of heat pumps <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">varies significantly <\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">across provinces. <\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">This study is trying to find<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">if<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">switchi<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">ng to <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">electric heat pumps for space heating instead of heating oil or gas lowers greenhouse <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">gas emissions across Canada.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">The answer to that question varies in each province <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">and territory depending on two main factors. The amount of GHGs released as a result <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">of the h<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">eat pump&#8217;s electricity use will first depend on the electricity mix of the local grid. <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">The efficiency of heat pumps is also influenced by the local climate. A heat pump will <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">use more electricity to heat a building of a similar size depending on how cold th<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">e <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">environment is. Higher electricity consumption impacts the carbon footprint of the heat <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">pump.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Furthermore, the analysis attempts to understand<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">the economic viability of <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">heat pumps across <\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Canada<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">The economic case for heat pumps is influence<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">d by a <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">number of factors. The payback period of the upgrade will primarily depend on the <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">price of heat pumps. In order to calculate the annual savings in operational costs, it is <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">important to consider the cost of gas and electricity in various scenarios. A<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">nother <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">important factor in determining the economic case for heat pumps is the local climate <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">and heating needs.<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">Hence t<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">he<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">project <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">develop<\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">s<\/span> <span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">a business case for heat pumps as an <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">alternative to natural gas for space heating <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">in various Canadian cities. It also tries to <\/span><span class=\"textLayer--absolute\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"presentation\">forecast when this fuel switch will result in a net reduction in carbon emissions.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Siya Ulsha | MEL Candidate | Dec 16, 2022 Mentor: Tom&#8211;Pierre Frapp\u00e9&#8211;S\u00e9n\u00e9clauze, Pembina Institute Abstract Canada has around 480,000 commercial and institutional buildings, including offices, retail establishments, and warehouses, in addition to over 15 million residential structures. A significant portion of Canada&#8217;s energy demand, or around 25% of all final energy consumption, comes from the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35992,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[810,14],"tags":[45,42,46,39,47,48],"class_list":["post-1484","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-carbon-projects","category-ceen2022capstoneprojects","tag-business-case-study","tag-canada","tag-climate-change","tag-heat-pumps","tag-private-industry","tag-private-sector"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1484","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35992"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1484"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1484\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1618,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1484\/revisions\/1618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1484"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1484"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/melceencapstoneprojects\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1484"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}