{"id":8979,"date":"2024-05-30T12:58:25","date_gmt":"2024-05-30T19:58:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/?p=8979"},"modified":"2024-05-30T12:58:25","modified_gmt":"2024-05-30T19:58:25","slug":"incumbents","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/2024\/incumbents\/","title":{"rendered":"Incumbents"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Julian Dierkes and Marissa J. Smith<\/em><\/p>\n

Incumbency has been a big factor in past elections in Mongolia regardless of (changes to) the electoral system.<\/p>\n

Given the “choice” of nomination for direct election or the party list, what are incumbents doing this time?<\/p>\n

In total (as of May 28, see our table of candidates<\/a>), there are 49 incumbents running for re-election. That is just under two thirds (64%) of previous members.<\/p>\n

For the MPP, 36 incumbents are running. All are running for direct election seats, none have been nominated via the party list.<\/p>\n

For the DP, 12 incumbents are running. That includes N Altankhuyag<\/strong> who had previously been elected as an independent but is now running for the DP, though he is a candidate in Songinokhairkhan, not in Erdenet (now in constituency #4, including Orkhon, Bulgan and Khuvsgul aimags) where he was elected in 2020. 10 are running for direct election seats, while 2 have been nominated via the party list, S Odontuya<\/strong> (2nd on party list) and J Batsuuri<\/strong> (3rd).<\/p>\n

The lone MP for KhUN, T Dorjkhand<\/strong>, heads up the party list.<\/p>\n

Observations<\/h2>\n

Regardless of their election result in 2020, incumbents have thus broadly been chosen to run in direct election races.<\/p>\n

Besides N Altankhuyag, only two other incumbents are also changing constituency: P\u00a0Anujin<\/strong> (moving from Songinokhairkhan district of UB to constituency #6 – Dornod, Khentii, Sukhbaatar), S Ganbaatar<\/strong> (also from Erdenet\/Orkhon to #1 – Arkhangai, Uvurkhangai, Bayankhongor). Two of the three moving onto the list from directly-elected seats are doing so from districts of UB (Dorjkhand from Khan-Uul and Odontuya from Bayangol).<\/p>\n

Not only are most of the incumbents running in the same geographic areas where they were before, several do or have held the position of local governor – Amarsaikhan<\/strong> for Ulaanbaatar, Batlut\u00a0<\/strong>for Orkhon,\u00a0Sandag-Ochir<\/strong> for Baganuur,\u00a0Enkhtuvshin\u00a0<\/strong>for Dornogovi,\u00a0Odontuya<\/strong> for Bayangol district of UB,\u00a0Naranbaatar<\/strong> for Umnugovi,\u00a0Batjargal<\/strong> for Tuv, Ganbold<\/strong> for Uvurkhangai. (Batsuuri\u00a0<\/strong>was also formerly governor of Sukhbaatar aimag, but he is moving onto the party list.)<\/p>\n

Take-Aways<\/h2>\n

The fact that so many incumbents are running not only for election in particular constituencies, and in ones in which they have established local presence, fits with a long-time trend contributing to the MPP’s staying power, at least beyond Ulaanbaatar. (See Marissa’s peer-reviewed journal article on this topic here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

For the Ulaanbaatar vote, however, there may be greater contest. In the wake of the “big three” parties announcing their lists of candidates through the media, a prominent thread of comment that emerged on social media called the composition of the MPP party list a “trap”<\/a>, or in a more extreme case observed, “make-up.”<\/a> In this line of reasoning, the MPP list “distracts” with new, non-Party career candidates, while the incumbents occupy directly-elected spots. The presentation of young, well-educated, professional candidates also strongly characterized KhUN’s “Right Person” campaign in the last election, and that former DP MP and minister Ts. Oyungerel’s CUP is carrying out on social media presently.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Julian Dierkes and Marissa J. Smith Incumbency has been a big factor in past elections in Mongolia regardless of (changes to) the electoral system. Given the “choice” of nomination for direct election or the party list, what are incumbents … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6444,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4769,4291,3493692,3493703,307911,307841],"tags":[3493644],"class_list":["post-8979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-democratic-party","category-elections","category-ikh-khural-2024","category-khun","category-mongolian-peoples-party","category-party-politics","tag-julian-dierkes-marissa-smith"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8979","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6444"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8979"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8979\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8996,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8979\/revisions\/8996"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8979"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8979"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/mongolia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8979"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}