As a Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College Disadvantage: Nate Silver

“… Hispanic voters could push Colorado and Nevada back toward the tipping point, … States like Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Iowa are overwhelmingly white – but also highly educated, with fairly progressive views on social policy.” 

    Nate Silver is a statistician and psephologist, and in the months leading up to the US election he hosted a blog in partnership with the New York Times. Five Thirty Eight took a closer look at the hundreds of national, statewide and topic polls that were conducted in the months leading up to the election, applying a mathematical analysis to the mind numbing numbers.

   However, the most interesting aspect of the whole polling process was the historical context of certain results; changing demographics in the United states had allowed minorities for the first time to play a greater role than Caucasian Americans. To be more specific, president Obama was able to win near all of the swing states, with a greater majority of the electoral college votes, without also obtaining a landslide popular vote.

    The Obama coalition, African-Americans, Hispanics, Women and the youth voted in large numbers for the President, and it became a point of discussion in the days which have followed the election about how Republicans can better appeal to these demographics and win back American.

    A more popular segment than white males and a decisive element in many sing states, it has now become a matter of who can better target and position to appeal to these voters. Maybe the next GOP nominee should be Marco Rubio.

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