{"id":1013,"date":"2006-04-25T07:39:03","date_gmt":"2006-04-25T15:39:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/2006\/04\/25\/seats-in-congress-the-latest-projections\/"},"modified":"2006-04-25T07:39:03","modified_gmt":"2006-04-25T15:39:03","slug":"seats-in-congress-the-latest-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/2006\/04\/25\/seats-in-congress-the-latest-projections\/","title":{"rendered":"Seats in Congress: The latest projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Once again, our thanks to Rici for the latest seat projections for congress:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/weblogs.elearning.ubc.ca\/peru\/archives\/peru_congress2.pdf\">Download file<\/a><br \/>\nNote that there are two pages: the first page shows how close each party is to passing the bar (cifra repartidora) necessary to get a seat.  Page two offers the actual seat numbers.<br \/>\n&#8220;The change is that UPP has been creeping ahead in Apurimac, and is now showing as winning both seats instead of splitting with Apra. I think I missed that possibility in my last notes.  We still don&#8217;t know whether RN will make the threshold; the projection is still showing it with 4.02%, so I&#8217;m still including it.&#8221; &#8212; Rici<br \/>\nFor Rici&#8217;s earlier (April 20) projections click <a href=\"http:\/\/weblogs.elearning.ubc.ca\/peru\/archives\/025899.php\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\nRici offers the following detailed notes:<br \/>\n&#8220;Apurimac: Could go back to UPP 1, Apra 1.<br \/>\nCallao: Several variations are possible. Apra could lose its second seat to AF, or (less likely), Apra could keep two seats, but UPP could lose it&#8217;s seat to AF.<br \/>\nLima: PP and RN are both within a few hundred votes of another seat, but UN is still gaining ground as the vote comes in, and it is not that far from a ninth seat. UPP would be the first to lose a seat in any of those scenarios.<br \/>\nLoreto: it&#8217;s looking steadily less likely, but RN could still win a seat (away from Apra).<br \/>\nMadre de Dios: (the only single-seat district) RN is ahead of UPP by a few hundred votes, but that could easily change; also, RN might not make the threshold.<br \/>\nPiura: AF could still win a seat here, probably from Apra but possibly from UPP.<br \/>\nIn Moquegua, the count is finished, so the results (UPP 1, Apra 1) are finalized (they were never in much doubt.)&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Once again, our thanks to Rici for the latest seat projections for congress: Download file Note that there are two pages: the first page shows how close each party is to passing the bar (cifra repartidora) necessary to get a seat. Page two offers the actual seat numbers. &#8220;The change is that UPP has been [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1305,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7951],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-political-parties"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1305"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1013\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ubc.ca\/peru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}