From the perspective of economic growth, lower gasoline prices is not enough to effect of the government to shut down.

A mount of Inventory accumulation speed is too fast to help the economy in the third quarter to 2.8% month-on-month annualized growth rate, but this business inventories in the first quarter is expected to decline.

In October at the same time, economists estimate that the part of  federal government  stopped for 16 days, it will led to make the fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate up to 0.6% .

All in all, economists predict even with gasoline prices fell the favorable conditions, the last three months of this year’s GDP growth rate less than 2%.

October crude oil output exceeded imports in the United States, This the first time since 1995. If this trend continues, gasoline prices to rise in the summer, usually could still remain low.

Goldman sachs is expected next year, the U.S. economy’s growth rate between 3-3.5%.

Lower gasoline prices can improve household net worth value, reducing the negative impact of the tax increase in 2013 and is likely to make wage growth modest improvement, but, we can also go  further and look forward to spending activity will be accelerated.

Continuous decrease in gasoline price

This event gives me some of enlightenment.

• enlightenment 1:Grasp the industry support and open markets. From the data released by the American ford motor company, the company will undoubtedly become the most direct beneficiaries of the Toyota recalls. In January this year, ford light vehicle sales rose 24%  in the us market, rose 43% in February, rose 39.8% in March.But behind this performance,it is closely related to the U.S. government’s attitude.

• 2.Improve the recall system, improve the car companies recalled the initiative 
• 3.Increase the degree of chinese-made electronic security
• The Toyota “back door” event is mainly caused by the pedal problem. Aiming at this problem, Toyota announced that “the end of 2010 brake override system (BOS) will become the standard of all domestic Toyota configuration.”
• 4.Recall system 
• 5.Public relations problem – crisis management.Since the 1970s, Japanese has   high technology content and high quality enjoys  reputation in the world,if the Toyota Toyota did not deal this problem correctly  and even it will  lose their advantages in the market and market shares。
• Six regulation to solve problems
• 1.Forecast
• 2.Fast
• 3.Fact
• 4.Face
• 5.Frank
• 6.flexible

Article from : https://blogs.ubc.ca/qq215535891/2013/11/17/crisis-of-japanese-industry/

On Monday (Nov. 18) morning , the dollar index opened, is currently trading at around 80.80. after the main non-us currencies against the dollar days , only new yuan high open more than 20 points, the rest of the money for both amplitude is not big.

From the monetary specific direction, even the dollar index in the five trading days last week with weak structure.

The federal reserve is scheduled for Thursday, Beijing time (21 November) 03:00 release meeting minutes, at the that time, the market may be around when the federal reserve has started to shrink its QE to produce a new round of debate. The federal reserve maintaining the easing of monetary policy meeting,make the new economic evaluation, and remove the concerns of credit environment in advance.

Our country the first real low cost airline, spring airlines began operation in July 2005. As  October 2013, spring airlines has 38 airbus A320 aircraft, operating 76 domestic routes, 5 airlines to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan routes and seven international routes. Spring airlines, low-cost aviation accounted for only 6.7% of the domestic airlines in our country, it is far lower than Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and other low-cost carrier developed southeast Asian countries.

“Technically, spring airlines is not low cost operation. Foreign low-cost airlines have special terminal, the airport, shuttle buses, trolleys, etc.As the plane landed and  also responsible for opening   the cabin for passengers to extract luggage. But at country , our existing environment does not allow airlines to do so.”

In 2006, spring airlines has “1 yuan ticket” event, received the government’s warning and  the reason is that ticket price is lower than the government guidance price released.

Policy impact on airlines will not immediately, but it will be conducive to the formation of the culture of low-cost airlines. By the large, the future will be more cheap tickets to facilitate people’s travel demanded  and promote the operation mode of the low cost airline. “The influence of this policy is very big, the airline at least won’t punished because of the low ticket prices.

article：http://news.carnoc.com/list/266/266109.html

British central bank, the bank of England demonstrate  inflation report, the British unemployment rate faster than the bank previously expected.it is possibility to fell below 7%or more than in the third quarter of 2015, indicating the bank or early exit ultra-loose monetary policy environment.

The unemployment rate is to promote the economic development of the whole country. But at the same time, Here we have been a different voice, such as market participants worry that the unemployment rate is one of the important reference data led to the British central bank tightening policy to raise interest rates .

I think that choose the time to adjust monetary policy, on the one hand, Many years of loosing monetary policy  in 2015, On the other hand can reveal the conservative economic policy adjustment to get more voters to support.

Many british voters have any questions on the loose monetary policy, which directly affect the Cameron government’s re-election and the global economic recovery area established. maybe the British economy output benefit to pre-crisis levels.

“Which are mentioned in the” decision “for the third plenary session (only China government conference）to improve the system of property rights, and actively develop a mixed sector of the economy, promoting state-owned enterprises to perfect the modern enterprise system, support the healthy development of the non-public sectors of the economy.” Tian Guojiang（successful  business man in CHNA) think that increase the non-state-owned economy to equal to state-owned economy is an unprecedented and mentioned in the report “continue to play the leading role of the state economy, increasing the vitality of state-owned economy, control and influence.” Tian Guojiang thinks it can further emancipate the mind.

Yesterday evening the three plenary session in the “decision” the full text, folk capital into the monopoly industries, state-owned enterprises income thirty percent pay public finances are listed as the focus of the economic and financial system reform.

To the problem of the reform of state-owned enterprises , Tian Guojiang think we should not expand the incremental reform, just only step by step touch stone across the river.