So I am not sure how to make an attachment on my post, therefore I just copy and pasted my paper draft here for those of you in my group (Jeremy, Zach and Genessa).
Regional Democracy Report: Measures of Democracy in South Asia
The following six datasets provide measures of democracy, or polyarchy in the case of Coppedge and Reinicke, which are grounded in various conceptions of elections and competition. In regards to measuring democracy in the region of South Asia, the concepts of elections and competition provide a minimal definition of democracy that fails to capture the complexities of democratization and those within existing democracies. For the purpose of this Regional Democracy Report I will define democracy in broader terms to account for the political complexities in South Asia and thus attain a more accurate and reliable dichotomy of countries. These six datasets—Freedom House, Measuring Polyarchy, Democracy and Dictatorships, Political Regime Classification, Polity IV and Vanhanen—will provide democratic scores for Bhutan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka[S1] . I will examine which dataset provided the most holistic scoring method for measuring democracy in South Asia in light of basic political and socioeconomic assumptions.
Summary of Datasets
Freedom House states that a country will be free (and thus democratic) if people choose their leaders from competing groups and individuals not designated by the party in power, highlighting the democratic features of competition and elections. Freedom House assesses political rights (which measure degrees of participation) and civil liberties (which measure freedom to pursue activities under the current government) to expand on the minimal definition of democracy as limited to competition and elections. On the Freedom House scale India is the only free South Asian country, scoring a 2 in political rights and a 3 in civil liberties (Freedom House 2012). The other five countries all rank as partly free on the Freedom House scale with scores between 3-5 for political rights and civil liberties (Freedom House 2012). Despite Sri Lanka and Bangladesh’s political rights and civil liberties scoring being labelled as partly free the two countries, along with India, qualified for electoral democracy status. This raises concerns about the inclusiveness of the electoral democracy dichotomy in Freedom House.
Vanhanen’s democratic measure focuses on two political variables, competition which is defined as the percentage share of smaller parties of votes cast in elections and participation which is defined as the percentage share of adult population that voted in elections (Vanhanen). Vanhanen states that these variables provide a complete measurement of a country’s distribution of power, therefore linking democracy to how power is distributed in a country. Vanhanen sets threshold values for competition (30%) and participation (10%) which provide a relative description of a country’s index of democratization.
Country |
Competition |
Participation |
Index of Democratization |
|
1980 |
2000 |
1980 |
2000 |
1980 |
2000 |
Bhutan |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Bangladesh |
22.3% |
51% |
23.96% |
34% |
5.34% |
17% |
India |
57.3% |
45.5% |
29.09% |
37.03% |
16.67% |
16.85% |
Nepal |
0% |
34.35% |
0% |
26.69% |
0% |
9.17% |
Pakistan |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Sri Lanka |
24.25% |
51.9% |
21.92% |
44.72% |
5.32% |
23.21% |
Polity IV assigns countries level of democracy and autocracy scores on a 21 point scale pertaining to their particular scoring in categories such as polity fragmentation, regime durability and persistence, executive recruitment, independent executive authority and political competition and opposition (Polity IV). Polity IV heavily emphasizes elections and competition by providing complex indicators.
Country |
Democracy |
Autocracy |
Polity
|
|
1980 |
2000 |
1980 |
2000 |
1980 |
2000 |
Bhutan |
0 |
0 |
10 |
10 |
-10 |
-10 |
Bangladesh |
0 |
6 |
4 |
0 |
-4 |
6 |
India |
8 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
9 |
Nepal |
0 |
7 |
9 |
1 |
-9 |
6 |
Pakistan |
0 |
0 |
7 |
6 |
-7 |
-6 |
Sri Lanka |
6 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
5 |
Democracy and Dictatorships (DD) by Cheibub, Vreeland and Gandhi provide a minimalist dichotomous measure producing a six-fold system of regime classification (DD). Under DD a country can be classified as a democracy if all these requirements are fulfilled:
- The chief executive must be chosen by popular election or by a body that was itself popularly elected,
- The legislature must be popularly elected,
- There must be more than one party competing in the election,
- An alternation in power under electoral rules identical to the ones that brought the incumbent to office must have taken place (Cheibub, Vreeland and Gandhi 2010).
These are all necessary conditions for democracy to exist. Cheibub, Vreeland and Gandhi ground their distinction of regimes as a democracy or dictatorship on the basis of whether or not legislative and executive offices are filled through contested elections. The indicators emphasized are ‘offices’ and ‘contestation’ which determine a country’s institutions capability of removing its ruling government from power (ibid). However, the Democracy and Dictatorship dataset fails to account for variables such as rule of law and corruption that persist outside the realm of elections thus limiting their potential applicability to South Asia. Yet this dataset divides democracy into three sub categories—presidential, parliamentary and semi-presidential—while a dictatorship is split into—monarchic, military and civilian which can potentially increase the inclusiveness of the democratic category (ibid).
Country |
Democracy |
Regime |
Regime Classification |
|
1980 |
2000 |
1980 |
2000 |
0-parliamentary |
Bhutan |
0 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
1-semi-presidential |
Bangladesh |
0 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
2-presidential |
Nepal |
0 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
3-civil dictatorship |
India |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4-military dictatorship |
Pakistan |
0 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
5-royal dictatorship |
Sri Lanka |
0 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
Coppedge and Reinicke’s Measuring Polyarchy dataset incorporates Robert Dahl’s eight features of democracy and narrows them down into two variables; contestation and inclusiveness. Through indicators such as suffrage, fairness of elections, freedom of organization, freedom of expression and media pluralism, Coppedge and Reinicke can identify institutional arrangements that adhere to their definition of democracy: permitting public opposition and right to political participation (1990). The perfect scale type denotes countries scoring in free fair elections, freedom of organization, freedom of expression, and availability of alternative info sources respectively on a scale of 1-4 with 1 relating to more polyarchic.
Country |
Contestation 1985 |
Polyarchy 1985 |
Contestation 2000 |
Polyarchy 2000 |
Perfect Scale Type |
Bhutan |
4 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
3412 |
Bangladesh |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3222 |
India |
– |
– |
– |
7 |
1122 |
Nepal |
2 |
8 |
7 |
2 |
3423 |
Pakistan |
4 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
3223 |
Sri Lanka |
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2222 |
Reich’s Political Regime Change (PRC) dataset provides a coding algorithm that identifies regimes as autocratic, democratic, semi-democratic or transitional (2009, 6). The assumption “guiding the PRC dataset is that no country can be considered democratic if national executive and legislative authority are not subject to meaningful competition via multiparty elections and no major, adult social group is excluded” (Reich 2009, 7). Therefore in order for a regime to be classified as democratic it must include:
- Competition among groups and individuals,
- Inclusive level of political participation,
- Sufficient level of civil and political liberties (ibid, 6).
Reich’s democratic measurement dataset, along with Freedom House, accounts for democratic features that occur outside of the election period. By Reich accounting for variables outside of the election scope he produced a more inclusive democratic and semi-democratic category.
Country |
Regime Classification |
Bangladesh |
Authoritarian: 1982-1991.
Transitional: 1991-1992.
Semi-democratic: 1992-1999. |
Bhutan |
Authoritarian: 1907-1999. |
India |
Democratic: 1980-1999. |
Nepal |
Authoritarian: 1980-1990.
Transitional: 1990-1991.
Democratic: 1991-1998. |
Pakistan |
Authoritarian: 1980-1988.
Democratic: 1988-1990.
Semi-democratic:1990-1999. |
Sri Lanka |
Democratic: 1980-1983.
Semi-democratic: 1983-1999. |
Compare and Contrast Democratic Measures
South Asia is a region that has historically been ravaged by civil war (Sri Lanka), military coups (Pakistan and Bangladesh), assassinated government leaders (India) and low levels of economic development and politicized identities along ethnic and religious cleavages in all countries (Suri, 2). To fully capture the tumultuous political landscape of South Asia researchers and political scientists have emphasized popular rule, welfare, rule of law, periodical elections, and freedom as appropriate indicators of democracy in this region. Dr. Rohit Kumar Nepali, a researcher for the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, identifies the electoral process as the crux of weak democratic governance in South Asia due to corruption (2009, 12).
As previously mentioned, Freedom House and Reich’s Political Regime Change datasets include variables outside of elections through assessment of political, and socioeconomic rights and liberties guaranteed to citizens. This enabled a more exclusive democratic labelling of South Asia countries. Freedom House identified India, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh as democracies while Reich labelled India and Nepal as full-fledged democracies. Democracy and Dictatorship, Polity IV and Vanhanen list India, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh as democracies, while Measuring Polyarchy identifies the same countries by democratization percentage scores.
Freedom House states that having multiple parties and elections doesn’t imply democracy, and therefore competition cannot be a duly emphasized feature of democracy unless it concludes in “the chief executive and legislative elected by a meaningful process” (Freedom House 2012). Other factors affecting the political right scoring are military influence, decentralization of power and reflection of voters’ preferences in parliament which tests for corruption levels. These indicators for political rights and civil liberties embody the complexities of the political system in South Asia. Democracy Digest states that “corruption remains one of the most pernicious threats to the quality and legitimacy of democratic governance in South Asia” (2012). Indicator #25 civil liberties and #4 political rights account for corruption, while #16 tests for rule of law adherence. These indicators test for the attributes in the South Asian countries that have been determined to undermine their democratic governance ability. Thus, Freedom House offers a holistic survey of democracy through political rights and civil liberties producing an exclusive electoral democracy category.
The Political Regime Change coding algorithm addresses corruption, censorship, and availability of alternative information sources after identifying whether multi-party elections persist with full adult suffrage. Under this coding algorithm two countries, India and Nepal, qualified as democracies which Reich defines as: regime in which (i) meaningful and extensive competition exists among individuals and organized groups for all effective positions of government power, at regular intervals and excluding the use of force; (ii) a highly inclusive level of political participation exists in the selection of leaders and policies, such that no major (adult) social group is excluded; and (iii) a sufficient level of civil and political liberties exists to ensure the integrity of political competition and participation” ().By avoiding dichotomous classification Reich can classify regimes that have substantial political freedom and competition but lack rule of law abidance and structured elections as semi-democracies ( ). This increases the exclusiveness of the democracy category providing a more accurate depiction of democracy levels in South Asia.
Democracy and Dictatorship resembles the Political Regime Change dataset by avoiding dichotomous classification of states as either democracies or autocracies. It provides sub-categories of democracy which divides it into parliamentary, semi-presidential and presidential. Due to the political and socioeconomic complexities associated with political governance in South Asia a dataset that differentiates forms of democracies and autocracies could potentially provide an accurate labelling of countries’ regimes. However, Democracy and Dictatorships scoring proved lenient as 3/6 countries were labelled as parliamentary democracies and Sri Lanka was labelled as a presidential democracy. The definitions associated with these sub-categories of democracy are light and minimal as they merely denote who has the ability to remove the elected government from power (7). Unlike the Political Regime Change dataset which provided comprehensive definitions of each regime type, Democracy and Dictatorship failed to provide sufficient differences to differentiate sub-categories and categories.
The Polity IV elicits a 21 point index scale fostering restrictive standards of democracy. The Polity IV dataset provides a holistic measurement of elections assessing their regulation and degree of competition which can determine to what extent the elections in South Asian countries are corrupted (Polity IV). Though South Asian countries have multi-party election systems, mainstream parties have co-opted the electoral process to ensure their continuous rule in upcoming elections (Nepali 2009, 7). Also mainstream parties have exploited religious cleavages in the South Asian countries to sustain electoral domination. Other datasets such as Democracy and Dictatorships and Vanhanen emphasize election indicators for supporting democracy but fail to attach any significance to the way governments are formed via elections, how political parties compete against each other, and whether voters vote according to religion or ethnic cleavages (Cheibub, Gandhi and Vreeland 2010, 75). Vanhanen’s dataset encounters the same problem as Cheibub, Vreeland and Gandhi’s when measuring democracy in South Asia. The election indicators fail to capture corruption levels and describe the procedural election process; they merely measure the presence of ‘free and fair elections’ or signify distribution of political power (Cheibub, Gandhi and Vreeland 2010, and Vanhanen).
[S1]Is it scores for the current year or would over a time series be best?