From the population change map, the hotspots mainly concentrated around the Surrey and Langley area. However, according to the zoning map, most of the hotspots are located on farmland. This infers that rural populations are growing possibly due to lower land value.
From the sea level rise map, it is evident that the DEM may not be of the highest quality due to sourcing constraints. This can be seen in south Surrey where there are some blotches when the sea level rise analysis was conducted. By comparing to Malik & Abdall’s results in Richmond, our results were also somewhat fragmented due to the low quality of the DEM. As a result, our analysis will take on a more general approach than a detailed one in the case that the alternative locations may be inaccurate. Overall, our analysis shows that 1m sea level rise would result in parts of Surrey and Delta being flooded. For a 5m sea level rise, the entirety of Richmond would be flooded.
By clipping the sea level rise and population change map, we see that the hotspots located in Surrey and Langley are most at risk from 1m sea level rise. In addition a small part of Coquitlam would also be affected by 5m sea level rise. However, since the location is zoned as a park, we chose not to conduct any further analysis.
For the multi criteria analysis, we used slope, transportation, population and elevation to find 10 alternative areas for future city development. According to our analysis, the spots are located in West Vancouver, Vancouver, Burnaby, New Westminster, Surrey, Langley, Port Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, White Rock and Delta. Interestingly, these locations have high land value especially West Vancouver, Vancouver and New Westminster. One factor that we did not include was zoning, so as a result, Stanley Park was chosen as a suitable location for city development. However, there are some concerning areas to note for the analysis, especially the locations that are located near the coast such as areas around Boundary Bay, Port Coquitlam and Maple Ridge. Although these places fit the criteria for future city development, these locations are still relatively low in elevation so extra precautions and further studies should be conducted to ensure that these locations are suitable for development in the long term. Overall, our analysis shows that locations most safe from sea level rise are the most desirable, therefore increasing the land value.