Three models were made for this study – the first model which incorporated all variables (current climate data, land cover data, soil data and deer data) to predict tick presence, then a second model with just current climate data to use as a model comparison for the final model which inputted future climate data to predict the spread of ticks. Additional maps included a map beyond the study area for the rest of North America, and maps that showed parks at risk both in the present-day climate conditions and in the future.
In the following sections, models and their diagnostic outputs have been analyzed to assess the fit and accuracy of the models. Training features, training rasters and predictions rasters have all been outputted for the models as maps.