From the perspective of economic growth, lower gasoline prices is not enough to effect of the government to shut down.

A mount of Inventory accumulation speed is too fast to help the economy in the third quarter to 2.8% month-on-month annualized growth rate, but this business inventories in the first quarter is expected to decline.

In October at the same time, economists estimate that the part of  federal government  stopped for 16 days, it will led to make the fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate up to 0.6% .

All in all, economists predict even with gasoline prices fell the favorable conditions, the last three months of this year’s GDP growth rate less than 2%.

October crude oil output exceeded imports in the United States, This the first time since 1995. If this trend continues, gasoline prices to rise in the summer, usually could still remain low.

Goldman sachs is expected next year, the U.S. economy’s growth rate between 3-3.5%.

Lower gasoline prices can improve household net worth value, reducing the negative impact of the tax increase in 2013 and is likely to make wage growth modest improvement, but, we can also go  further and look forward to spending activity will be accelerated.

Continuous decrease in gasoline price

This event gives me some of enlightenment.

• enlightenment 1:Grasp the industry support and open markets. From the data released by the American ford motor company, the company will undoubtedly become the most direct beneficiaries of the Toyota recalls. In January this year, ford light vehicle sales rose 24%  in the us market, rose 43% in February, rose 39.8% in March.But behind this performance,it is closely related to the U.S. government’s attitude.

• 2.Improve the recall system, improve the car companies recalled the initiative 
• 3.Increase the degree of chinese-made electronic security
• The Toyota “back door” event is mainly caused by the pedal problem. Aiming at this problem, Toyota announced that “the end of 2010 brake override system (BOS) will become the standard of all domestic Toyota configuration.”
• 4.Recall system 
• 5.Public relations problem – crisis management.Since the 1970s, Japanese has   high technology content and high quality enjoys  reputation in the world,if the Toyota Toyota did not deal this problem correctly  and even it will  lose their advantages in the market and market shares。
• Six regulation to solve problems
• 1.Forecast
• 2.Fast
• 3.Fact
• 4.Face
• 5.Frank
• 6.flexible

Article from : https://blogs.ubc.ca/qq215535891/2013/11/17/crisis-of-japanese-industry/

On Monday (Nov. 18) morning , the dollar index opened, is currently trading at around 80.80. after the main non-us currencies against the dollar days , only new yuan high open more than 20 points, the rest of the money for both amplitude is not big.

From the monetary specific direction, even the dollar index in the five trading days last week with weak structure.

The federal reserve is scheduled for Thursday, Beijing time (21 November) 03:00 release meeting minutes, at the that time, the market may be around when the federal reserve has started to shrink its QE to produce a new round of debate. The federal reserve maintaining the easing of monetary policy meeting,make the new economic evaluation, and remove the concerns of credit environment in advance.

Our country the first real low cost airline, spring airlines began operation in July 2005. As  October 2013, spring airlines has 38 airbus A320 aircraft, operating 76 domestic routes, 5 airlines to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan routes and seven international routes. Spring airlines, low-cost aviation accounted for only 6.7% of the domestic airlines in our country, it is far lower than Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and other low-cost carrier developed southeast Asian countries.

“Technically, spring airlines is not low cost operation. Foreign low-cost airlines have special terminal, the airport, shuttle buses, trolleys, etc.As the plane landed and  also responsible for opening   the cabin for passengers to extract luggage. But at country , our existing environment does not allow airlines to do so.”

In 2006, spring airlines has “1 yuan ticket” event, received the government’s warning and  the reason is that ticket price is lower than the government guidance price released.

Policy impact on airlines will not immediately, but it will be conducive to the formation of the culture of low-cost airlines. By the large, the future will be more cheap tickets to facilitate people’s travel demanded  and promote the operation mode of the low cost airline. “The influence of this policy is very big, the airline at least won’t punished because of the low ticket prices.

article：http://news.carnoc.com/list/266/266109.html

British central bank, the bank of England demonstrate  inflation report, the British unemployment rate faster than the bank previously expected.it is possibility to fell below 7%or more than in the third quarter of 2015, indicating the bank or early exit ultra-loose monetary policy environment.

The unemployment rate is to promote the economic development of the whole country. But at the same time, Here we have been a different voice, such as market participants worry that the unemployment rate is one of the important reference data led to the British central bank tightening policy to raise interest rates .

I think that choose the time to adjust monetary policy, on the one hand, Many years of loosing monetary policy  in 2015, On the other hand can reveal the conservative economic policy adjustment to get more voters to support.

Many british voters have any questions on the loose monetary policy, which directly affect the Cameron government’s re-election and the global economic recovery area established. maybe the British economy output benefit to pre-crisis levels.

“Which are mentioned in the” decision “for the third plenary session (only China government conference）to improve the system of property rights, and actively develop a mixed sector of the economy, promoting state-owned enterprises to perfect the modern enterprise system, support the healthy development of the non-public sectors of the economy.” Tian Guojiang（successful  business man in CHNA) think that increase the non-state-owned economy to equal to state-owned economy is an unprecedented and mentioned in the report “continue to play the leading role of the state economy, increasing the vitality of state-owned economy, control and influence.” Tian Guojiang thinks it can further emancipate the mind.

Yesterday evening the three plenary session in the “decision” the full text, folk capital into the monopoly industries, state-owned enterprises income thirty percent pay public finances are listed as the focus of the economic and financial system reform.

To the problem of the reform of state-owned enterprises , Tian Guojiang think we should not expand the incremental reform, just only step by step touch stone across the river.

On Monday, President Xi Jinping reassured Asian business and political leaders that his country only aspires to peace and that he is confident its economic growth will remain robust despite a recent slowdown. China’s growth and other indicators are within reasonable expectations, Xi told a business conference on the sidelines of the annual summit of the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation forum.
“I want to emphasize that I am fully confident about the future of China,” Xi said in a keynote address at the CEO conference. “I am deeply convinced the Chinese economy will sustain its sound growth.”
Also, China is intended to provide a more open environment to foreign enterprises. “The Chinese Government is revising regarding laws and regulations to provide foreign enterprises in China with a fair law environment.” The foundation of China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone also marks a more opening atmosphere in Chinese policy makers.
Expectedly, a new turning pointing is coming in Chinese economy.

he most significant part of Apple’s launch of the iPhone 5S and 5C were not the phones themselves, rather it is the 64 bit A7 processor, which will be the platform that moves the company safely to higher ground while the rest of mobiles commoditizes. While analysts preened for a mass market $300 phone to “save” the ecosystem, Apple headed in a completely different direction that offers revenue growth and increased margins. Contrary to belief, $300 phones are a dead end.
Apple chose a correct direction when it first launched it first iPhone. It focused on the new features and capabilities while downplaying the processor — after all it wasn’t one of Apple’s. However, with the closing of the gap due to Android and the multitude of ARM mobile chip vendors, Apple had to make a move to separate itself not just from the consumer market but from the more profitable corporate sector.
Tim Cook has not announced it publicly but his number one goal is to take over the corporate Wintel business that has driven profits for Microsoft and Intel over these past 30 years. With every new iOS and processor, Apple has been capable of applying pressure to Wintel enterprises with its outstanding product technology and performance, which used to concentrated on PCs and Windows OS.
If as expected, Apple launches the A8 next year as the latest 64 bit processor with features that excel against all, even Intel, in performance and power, then it will have completely taken Intel’s game away while the latter is demoted to selling in the $300 mass market that continues to commoditize.

Road and bridges companies’ annual reports on is the best proof of the saying that ‘highways are cash printers’. According the 2010 annual report said, 600377.SH (Stock market number) make the big profit in the last year and the profit up to 38.1%.At the same time, 0000002.SZ(Stock market number) make the big benefit up to 14.4%.

The data shows that the average gross profit of 19 national businesses, including road and bridge toll-gate income, reached 59.14%; the average of net profit is as high as 35.51%. And despite the large number of real estate companies, but the industry average gross margin of 10% to 20%.

Of course, not all the highways are already profitable. In recent years, some of the new highways in the Midwest area remain in deficit. A reasonable explanation is that the cost of building roads in recent years has grown exponentially, but these areas haven’t propped up enough traffic yet.

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