Wiki-what?

This blog post is going to introduce some key points from the esteemed book Wikinomics by Don Tapscott and Anthony D. Williams and provide some tangible examples about how companies can use them.

Wikinomics refers to the recent phenomenon of user generated content in social media and mass collaboration. Tapscott and Williams argue that how individuals interact with each other and with society has fundamentally changed and in order to be successful companies, governments and people need to unleash the power of mass collaboration.

The book starts by highlighting Time magazine`s choice for person of the year in 2006 was “You – the online collaborator.”

In Hawaiian, wiki means quickly. Wikinomics is now about companies can “conceive, design, develop and distribute products and services in profoundly new ways”. While Wikipedia is probably the most well-known wiki site, this post is going to look at an unusual example.

Enter Canadian mining company Goldcorp. In 2000, Goldcorp’s CEO Rob McEwen was facing significant problems, Goldcorp had the rights to explore gold ore deposit in Red Lake and they needed help.

Inspired by the development of Linux’s open collaboration methods, McEwen established the Goldcorp Challenge. Goldcorp set $575K in prize money and provided “every scrap of information about the 55,000 acre property” on their website. Within weeks – submissions came in from across the world and eventually Goldcorp was able to leverage that mass collaboration and transform itself from a $100M company to a $9B company.

Now this is obviously suffers from winner’s bias, this was a very risky move that could have gone sideways. However, it demonstrates an extreme example that should help make the case about how valuable mass collaboration in the modern business world can be. It also teaches us some valuable lessons about how companies can use mass collaboration to improve performance.

Lesson 1: Everyone can use them – There is room for mass collaboration even with the most secretive companies as demonstrated in the example above by Goldcorp.

Lesson 2: Employee engagement – Mass collaboration and the use of wikis can help engage employees. For example Bell Canada uses internal wikis as an “idea exchange”. Employees submit ideas and are voted on by staff. Best Buy also has a voluntary outlet where they can share positive customer experiences, best practices, etc.

Lesson 3: Improve efficiency- Internal wikis can also improve internal efficiency by enabling staff (within and outside of your organization) to manage projects better (e.g. posting proposals, FAQs, best practices, etc.) – which can reduce emails and increased the quality of documentation.

Overall, there is lots of potential to harness the power of mass collaboration, the challenge for companies will be figuring out how best it can satisfy their needs.

 

Groupon… will it stand the test of time?

Groupon (GRPN) recently released its Q3 results where they missed their sales target and posting a net loss of almost $3 million. GRPN’s share price fell 25% bringing it down 80% below its original initial public offering (IPO) value, they are also eliminating 80 sales jobs.

This begs the question, how much longer will Groupon survive and is their business model sustainable?

GRPN was founded in 2008 by Andrew Mason and was once named by Forbes magazine as the “fastest growing company ever”.  GRPN is essentially a mass email marketing company that positions itself as win-win-win for retailers, customers and itself.

In 2010, Google offered GPRN $6 billion, however the firm declined, instead seeking to do its own IPO in 2011, which raised $700 million (valuing the company at $12.7 billion). At the time, this made GRPN the largest IPO by an internet company since Google.

Criticism of the business model have been raised for the following issues:

Attracts the wrong types of customers: 

  • GRPN segments for price-sensitive customers and these customers are unlikely to be long-term customers.

Impacts operational logistics: 

  • GRPN deals typically expire within a certain period. This can have significant impact on the logistics of a firm. For example, if a hair dressing salon with a limited number of chairs does a GRPN promotion, the business has a constrained number of chairs from which to serve customers. This means that it may lose those seats to lower paying customers who are unlikely to come again. This presents itself a as a challenge for firms who are looking to provide excellent customer service.

Alienates your current customer base:

  • Small businesses are built on personal relationships. Groupon’s hidden cost may jeopardize your existing customer base as you are providing a deal to new customers instead of rewarding your long standing customers.

So what does this mean for small businesses?

1. Before you embark on a GRPN – develop a marketing strategy. What is the marketing problem you are facing, where do opportunities exist and what type of customer are you trying to reach. This will help you to clarify and understand what type of customer you are trying to attract and whether GRPN would appeal to that group.

2. If relevant, incorporate GRPN into your marketing strategy, however don’t limit yourself to that area exclusively. Small businesses tend to consider GRPN as a silver bullet that is an easy way to generate new leads. Businesses need to consider what financial, strategic and logistical impact this promotion may have on your firm.

3. Do your homework. Consult with other business who have used GRPN as a marketing techniques. There may be some lessons that you can learn from other’s experiences.

4. If you have an existing loyal customers consider investing your marketing dollars in them (e.g. recession discount). Focus in retention that increasing the number of people through the door.

Overall, GRPN can be an effective marketing tool, however it needs to be approached cautiously and with a clear understanding of what its purpose is and what businesses need to consider when incorporating it as part of their marketing strategy.

Myspace’s revival – (Can it beat the odds like Justin Timberlake?)

Once considered the biggest social media site in the world, Myspace is trying to claw its way back into the big leagues with endorsements from co-owner Justin Timberlake. Myspace released a teaser video in September to re-brand itself as a relevant online platform for artists. The site has been described as a “mash-up” between Pinterest, Instagram and Facebook with a focus on music.

This post will analyze both the NewMyspace and explore its history to ensure it does not repeat its mistakes.

Myspace’s lifecycle:

Unfortunately Myspace has followed the traditional boy-band life cycle.

Stage 1: Humble beginnings: Myspace was founded in 2003 by Chris DeWolfe and Tom Anderson, originally designed as a file storage site and it quickly became one of the most trafficked sites on the internet.

Stage 2: Stardom: Myspace was sold to Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp in 2005 for $580 million, their first major internet purchase. In 2006, Myspace’s 100 millionth account was created and the site surpassed Google as the most visited website in the US.  In 2008, Myspace generated $800 million in revenues and was valued at $12 billion. However, for a variety of reasons Myspace’s popularity started to erode.

Stage 3: Fall and struggle: In 2008 Myspace lost 10 million users between January and February 2011 and Facebook overtoook Myspace in the Alexa.com rankings.

Reasons for decline

  1. Failed to “grow-up” and evolve: Myspace failed to innovate and stuck to a “portal strategy” of building an audience around entertainment and music.
  2. Not user-centered: Myspace had an advertising deal with Google, which meant it was required to tons of ads on its heavily advertised space. This made the site slow, difficult to use, and less flexible.
  3. Open vs. closed platforms: Myspace built everything in-house, whereas rival sites like Facebook created platforms that allowed outside developers to build new applications.
  4. Buggy products: Myspace introduced a lot of features but many were poor quality and launched before they were sufficiently tested.
  5. Free speech: Myspace was being investigated for allowing children’s exposure to pornography. This bad press caused new social media sites like Twitter and Facebook to target Myspace users.

Stage 4: Low point:  In 2011 Myspace was put up for sale (estimated to be worth $50–200 million), however they were unable to find a buyer for more than $100 million. In June 2011, Myspace was acquired by Specific Media for $35 million.

Stage 5: Revival: Myspace is still operational. According to comScore, Myspace has 54 million users and employs 200 people (down from the 1,600 employees in June 2009).  Alexa.com ranks Myspace’s global rank as 196 (November 2012).

The NewMyspace:

The teaser video highlights the user and artist experience of the new site.

User experience: The teaser follows the user experience of “David Croft”, as he clicks through a variety of features including mixes (playlists),  connections (friends), and  trending (background information on bands such as media interviews, magazine articles and profiles).  Each page is almost all photos and seamlessly integrates together.

Artist experience: From an artist perspective, the site is designed to give them information about who is listening to their music and where they are. CEO Vanderhook argues it is “a social network for the creative community to connect to their fans.”

A message on the website announced the redesign: “We’re hard at work building the new MySpace, entirely from scratch.”

To ensure the New Myspace it is a success they should take the following lessons from their past:

  1. Continue to innovate adding features. 
  2. Make sure new features undergo rigorous user testing. 
  3. Use open platforms as much as possible so you don’t have to shoulder all of the work. 
  4. Focus on the user experience. 

If Myspace follows these tips and is ready to learn from their mistakes, hopefully it will be able to follow in Justin Timberlake’s foot steps and regain its position as a leading social media site.

Tips for understanding, valuing and using reddit.com

Quote

I consider myself to be a relatively savvy social media person, however as much as I try, I still don’t understand the social media site reddit.

Reddit intrigued me after reading George Anders’ article, in Forbes. I wanted to learn more, understand how social media companies are valued and how firms can leverage sites like reddit to improve their online presence.

1. Understanding reddit: 

Reddit is named after its logo a “goofy red-eyed alien” named Snoo and is a social news website, populated by user generated content. This content is then voted “up” or “down” based on popularity and determines its position on the front page.

This sounded easy, so when I first went to the website, I was expecting to find news articles and links similar to Twitter, but organized by popularity rather than chronologically.  Instead what I found was a clunky user interface with lots of pictures of grumpy cats and embarrassing photos of awkward girls. (Grumpy cat had been voted up more than 3,000 times at the time of the post.)

Despite this, Alexa.com rates reddit’s monthly unique traffic rating 135th in the US (and 40th in Canada), achieving 43 million unique hits per month.

Understanding the reddit user:

Reddit users can segmented on demographics, psychographics and technographics.

Demographics: The typical reddit user is predominantly male (72%) between the ages of 25-34 with a college education and has no children.

Psychographics: Customer psychographics can be determined using the VALs (values, attitudes and lifestyles) framework.

On the horizontal dimension (the primary motivation), the reddit user is likely driven by knowledge and principles. This puts them in the consumer group “thinkers and believers”. On the vertical dimension – the reddit user has a college degree, access to a computer and the internet, and therefore likely has the resources to be innovative. This would categorize the reddit user in the thinkers quadrant.

Technographic: Using Forrestor’s social technographic framework – reddit users would likely exist at all stages on the Forrestor ladder (except for the inactives).

Further analysis on the using the Forrestor social technographic tool allowed me to further identify what proportions relative to the general public fall into each category. The key take away here is that reddit users are above average in every category (except for inactives).

2. Valuing reddit

Reddit is an open source project established in 2005 by Alexis Ohanian and Steve Huffman. They sold the company in 2006 for close to $5 M to Advance Publications (owner of Vanity Fair, Vogue, GQ and the New Yorker).

Anders’ article in Forbes argued that reddit is now worth $240 M. Valuing social media companies has become a controversial topic in the wake of the recent IPO, as the market does not yet have clear ways to value these types of firms.

This post will explore three ways; the discounted cash flow, the market value per user and the use of recapitalization information. These three ways value reddit between $50M and $700M. The good news is that is a lot of money for Advance Publications, but the bad news is this leaves a fair amount of ambiguity.

A)      Discounted cash flow: ($50M) – worst case scenario

This method takes into account the present value of all future cash flow (bluntly put revenues – costs). Reddit has very low costs, however its revenue potential is questionable. There are two main sources of revenue; reddit gold and advertising.

Reddit gold: Reddit is a traditional freemium model. A freemium refers to a business model where a service or product is provided for free, however a premium is charged for advanced features. (free + premium = Freemium). Reddit gold encourages users to join for a monthly rate (as low as $2.49/month) and it provides extended features (including added a trophy on your username and blocking ads). Reddit gold was launched in 2010 where the post argues:

“The bottom line is, we need more resources. Whenever this topic comes up on the site, someone always posts a comment about how reddit is owned by Conde Nast, a billion-dollar corporation … But here’s the thing: corporations aren’t run like charities. And reddit’s revenue isn’t great.”

Advertising: Reddit’s revenue potential comes from ads primarily from movie studios and gaming companies.

To date reddit has not be able to make a profit, analysts argue using this model, would likely value the company at $50 M.

In order to make reddit financially viable, the firm should consider actually providing additional services with its reddit gold clients to improve its revenues and communicate the benefits of paid advertising to its site, particularly for firms that are looking to target reddit’s main audience.

B)      Market value/user ($700 M) – best case scenario

A more optimistic way of valuing a social media companies (used by venture capitalists) is market value/user.  Anders’ argues the market value/user would make reddit worth $700 M. This method is done as follows (Entreprise value = Number of unique users * market value per user).

Valuing reddit at Yelp’s value of $17 with 43 million unique users a month would put the overall valuation at $700 M.

Until reddit is able to make a profit and start to demonstrate that it will be able to capture revenues either through its gold program or its advertisers, this valuation is likely much higher than anyone would be comfortable with.

C)     Recapitalized ($240 M) – mid range scenario

Anders argues that reddit’s true value is in their recently updated incorporation papers. A clause in the papers stated that if reddit is sold for less than $240 million, they would change their conversion premium.

Based on these three models, I would likely take the conservative estimate which is based on real cash flows and value the firm closer to $50 M. While reddit has a great deal of potential, until the site can attract sustainable revenues through advertising I would hesitate valuing it any higher.

3. Using reddit?

So how should companies and people use reddit?

1.      Listening: The most critical function of firms is currently how to monitor social media. Vancouver-based Hootsuite recently announced that reddit was added to their application directory. As argued in the book Groundswell, listening is the first and most important pillar that firms should adopt as part of their social media strategies. For example, reddit users are already testing and blogging about video games, movies and other electronic devices. Firms should find a way to be aware of how their products and/or services are being discussed on reddit.

2. Participating: Ask me anything (AMA) is a crowdsourced interview series launched by reddit, which has been very successful, recently hosting President Obama, Paul Krugman and Margaret Atwood. These interviews are less polished than traditional media, however they have been eliciting millions of page views. Firms should continue to find innovative ways to promote their product/services and gain earned media through these informal channels such as AMA on reddit.

3. Advertising: Reddit has a captive audience of males within the demographic outlined above. For firms, focusing on products and services geared to this demographic, there is an opportunity to target specific ads.

4. Crowdsourcing/fundraising: Reddit users have been able to successfully leverage the site to raise money for community projects, for example, users raised $185,000 for the Haiti earthquake and more than $600,000 for DonorsChoose, an organization allowing users to donate directly to projects at public schools. Non-profit organizations may want to consider targeting reddit users to raise awareness about their campaigns.

Overall, I am starting to understand and love reddit the more I learn about it, however I know I have only explored the tip of the iceberg. Sites like reddit are becoming more and more popular, in order for firms to be successful in the new social media world, they need to stay up on the latest sites, understand their purpose and find ways (where appropriate) to monitor and interact with their audience using these types of forums.