In Week 7, I choose to go 8 contracts, again. 2 short contract on soybean and 3 short on Wheat and 3 short on Corn. Out of my expectation, the corn price was not positive coefficient with the fluctuation of soybean prices.
Here is some graphs about soybean price movements:
After crazy week 6, soybean price slump to only around $1400 per contract. I understand the price gonna head South. However, due to the trading system we can only trade from Monday to Friday. I choose to get out of the market on Friday morning.
Unfortunately, the price start to collapse on week 6 Friday and the fear continue spread on Sunday. The price finally arrive at around $1400 on Monday Week 7. There is no time to hesitate at this moment. I know traders must react to the latest news—-The USDA expectation is 4% more than the used one. Goldman Inc, also cut their hope on Corn, Soybean and wheat.
At the Week 7, I choose to go short on all three commodity we are trading at. On wednesday, I get into the market on Wednesday morning and again get out on Friday.I was lucky, this time, the market shows a downward trends. Although it is small downward trend. I still make about $3000 in Week7.
From the weekly graph, we could have a clear view about the”head and shoulders”picture.
From the technical analysis, the price should continually decrease during at the beginning of November.
The Road Ahead in Week 8:
I believe the future price of soybean will heavily depending on the biofuel program. From a news, “US could probably become energy independent in the near future.” Also, the yield in Latin America will heavily influence the market price. The market price will rebound a little in the next week. I will try to go long on soybean for the next going week.