Methods

Historic temperature, precipitation and discharge data were collected to determine historic climate and discharge trends and identify potential shifts in spring season peak flow by decade from 1962 to 2003.  The impacts from Pacific Decadal Oscillations (PDO) and El Nino Southern Oscillations (ENSO) on climate and discharge were also analyzed to determine how PDO/ENSO enhance the impacts of climate change.  Average monthly water consumption from 1999 to 2013 and daily water consumption from 2009 to 2013 were analyzed in order to identify relationships between temperature and precipitation.  All of the data were analyzed and used to conduct a sensitivity analysis by developing water consumption scenarios under a 1, 2, and 3 °C increase in average summer (July and August) temperatures with and without drought conditions.