Peru Election 2006

The archived version

11:25 pm: Transparencia Quick Count

with 5 comments

Transparencia announced this evening that the race for the second spot in the presidential election is too close to call. Speaking on behalf of the non-governmental organization, Pepi Patron said that the public will only know the final result when all the votes are counted and she appealed to all parties for calm and patience.
In the past, Transparencia’s results have been within 0.1 and 0.2 percent of the final result. Even with a very low margin of error, the results at 11 pm were too close for the NGO to declare who would be in the second round with Ollanta Humala.
For now, the results are:
Ollanta Humala: 29.85%
Lourdes Flores: 24.42%
Alan Garcia: 24.27%
However, this result does not provide certainty that Lourdes Flores will be in the second round. A different estimation technique, in which the various departments of Peru are weighed according to their electoral size, yields a district result:
Ollanta Humala: 30.32%
Lourdes Flores: 23.5%
Alan Garcia: 24.20%
Rafael Roncagliolo explained that Transparencia’s methodology involves inputing data until the outcome is stable. In this case, additional data will not significantly vary the result, and the margin of difference is still extremely small. In short, the quick count can only confirm two things: there will be a second round, and Ollanta Humala will be in the second round.

Written by Michael Ha

April 9th, 2006 at 9:25 pm

Posted in Polls - Results

Spam prevention powered by Akismet