Author Archives: jan jenko

Killed by comfort

We keep tinkering with our world, trying to make it better, more comfortable to live in. How we work, communicate, have fun and even the way we grow our food are constantly evolving. We are trying to create a utopia, but Dr. John Calhoun’s 1973 study suggests we might be in for a not-so-happy ending.

After the Second World War, population started rising frighteningly quickly, and it became obvious that such growth can’t go on forever. So, where does it stop? What will happen when it does?

Worries about overpopulation stimulated studies about the effect population density has on individual’s behaviour and perhaps the most famous was Dr. Calhoun’s mouse study, explained in the video below.

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Youtube video courtesy of: tamerahunt.

Mice were put in an environment where they faced no predation or scarcity of food or water. The only limiting factor was the space, which could still support around 3000 mice. But the population never come close to that number.

To begin the study, 4 pairs of breeding mice were introduced to their new environment (called Universe 1) and after an initial period of about three months, the population started rising exponentially. By day 315, there were already 620 mice. This is still far from the predicted 3000, but the growth stopped there. The animals were becoming increasingly aggressive and anti-social.

By day 600, society broke. The young were expelled before reaching maturity and were attacked by dominant males. Females also became more aggressive while non-dominant males became passive. Rather than reproduce, the mice started attacking each other. This escalated to the point where there were no new births, or if there were, the females would kill their own pups. Mortality rose dramatically.

One might think that once the population fell below some threshold, the behaviour might normalize, but it didn’t. The change that occurred in mice was irreversible and they were heading for doom. Dr. Calhoun called the tipping point the “Behavioral Sink”.

In this sick society, a subgroup emerged that seemed almost a separate species and Dr. Calhoun called them the “Beautiful Ones”. They were kept secluded from birth and were spared the insanity at the cost of no social interactions. They were hermits of sorts but because they lacked social interactions, they were also less intelligent. They weren’t violent, but they didn’t procreate either.

In the end, the colony died off. The research team made 25 such “Universes” and got the same result every time.

Dr. Calhoun in Universe 1. Source: Wikimedia commons, courtesy of Yoichi R Okamoto

Dr. Calhoun in Universe 1.
Source: Wikimedia commons, courtesy of Yoichi R Okamoto

These were studies on mice, but parallels can be made with our own species. In the developed world, countries are facing negative natural growth. In Europe for example, an average couple only has 1.4 children. If it weren’t for immigration, the population would already be in irreversible decline. Random violence? The shootings at schools don’t even shock us anymore. Mothers killing their young? Just last week, there was a pro-life demonstration on campus, I’m sure they’d love to tell you all about that.

Maybe these examples seem contrived, but perhaps there is something to it. Perhaps,  it would be best if we all went live in the woods and be merry. 🙂

Jan

Concerns About Nuclear Fusion

Nuclear fusion is not usually subject to ethical scrutiny, since it promises to replace fossil fuels and nuclear fission as the main power source. It is much cleaner and safer. However, there are concerns.

There have been some major advances in the field of nuclear fusion last week. If you don’t know much about the subject, I recommend you watch the video bellow before reading the articles.

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The theory behind fusion has been understood for nearly a century, and controlled reactions have been achieved as early as 1950’s. But all those experiments required more energy than they produced, making them useless for power generation. However, this changed recently, when scientists in Germany successfully operated a fusion reactor that they say is able to produce net energy gain. Further, just last week, researchers at MIT made important discoveries about how the hot plasma behaves inside the reactor.

JET fusion reactor in England. The torus is designed to hold the heated plasma suspended in air, without touching the walls. Source: Flickr, by aglet

JET fusion reactor. The torus is designed to hold the heated plasma suspended in air, preventing it from touching the walls and thus losing heat.
Source: Flickr, by aglet

 

Now, to the ethics part. What could possibly be ethically controversial about a power source that does not pollute our atmosphere with carbon and does not produce radioactive materials, that is safe and practically limitless? Well, it’s the fact that it’s not limitless.

Like Dr. Cowley, I worry about the Sun swallowing the Earth when it expands. Another realization that struck me very hard was the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The entropy of the universe is constantly increasing and so even if we get off of our planet in time, there will come a day when all the universe is in thermodynamic equilibrium, at which point no life will be possible. And although these events are billions of years away, they worry me. I don’t understand why. I know there is nothing we can do about them and I hope that, despite our best efforts, I’ll be dead by then.

What we can do something about is the first thing Dr. Cowley talked about, our consumption of natural resources. And what fusion is, is the consumption of Earth’s most precious resource: water. They tell us that there is enough water on Earth to last 30 million years, but obviously, we can’t use all of it. Even if the only thing we care about are our own anthropocentric little selves and let all other life on Earth perish, we can’t use 100%. We probably couldn’t even use 50% and I don’t think we should use any, because the process of fusion is irreversible. As a source of energy, it is completely unrenewable (which even fossil fuels are, to some degree).

I understand, it is the lesser evil, but it is an evil nevertheless. It is a treatment of symptoms rather than the cause, which is simply that we use too much. What we should focus on, is reducing our consumption, which we will eventually have to do anyway, be it now or in 30 million years. We should reduce our consumption so that renewable sources (wind, solar) would suffice. Or better yet, we should all go live in the woods and be merry. 🙂

– Jan