Archive for the ‘Political Parties’ Category
Alan García afirma que le dejan una “bomba de tiempo”
En una visita para supervisar el inicio de una campaña de atención médica a un asentamiento humano de San Juan de Lurigancho, el presidente electo aprovechó para reiterar que el gobierno saliente está dejando bombas de tiempo, como el desempleo, las tarifas eléctricas o la falta de agua. Aseguró que durante el régimen de Toledo ha crecido el país para un 30% de la población, pero que el 70% de campesinos y desempleados vive en extrema pobreza, auque respecto a este hecho Carlos del Solar, titular de la Sociedad Nacional de Minería, explicó que estas “bombas de tiempo” son problemas sociales de largo tiempo y que forman parte de una agenda pendiente, mientras que el presidente saliente Alejandro Toledo, le pidió a García que no toque el tema de austeridad, si no le recordará los dos millones y medio de hiperinflación que dejó en su primer gobierno.
Mirko Lauer analiza la coyuntura política actual
Congresistas de UPP evalúan “gesto político” frente a Torres Caro
Congress Passes Free Trade Agreement
The Peruvian congress decided to debate the ratification of the Free Trade Agreement with the United States last night. After the debate began a fight broke out as a number of recently elected (but not yet sitting) members of congress broke into the legislature to interrupt the deliberations. At 2:30 am the trade agreement was passed by 79 votes to 14 against, with 6 abstentions.
Source: La Primera, 28 de junio del 2006
Nancy Obregón y Elsa Malpartida, congresistas electas de UPP, intentaron frustrar el debate sobre la ratificación del Tratado de Libre Comercio (TLC) con los Estados Unidos.
Ollanta Humala apoyará acciones de protesta contra el TLC
Source: La República, 27 de junio del 2006
Invitado por la Coordinadora Nacional de Lucha contra el TLC, en conferencia de prensa Ollanta Humala dejó muy en claro que respaldará la marcha de mañana y el paro nacional que se realizará el 4 de julio contra la ratificación en el Congreso del Tratado de Libre Comercio con los Estados Unidos.
Nelson Palomino marca distancia con Ollanta Humala
Carlos Torres Caro presenta agrupación Partido Demócrata Peruano (PDP)
El legislador electo Carlos Torres Caro, quien renunció a las filas de la alianza UPP-PNP, presentó su propia agrupación política junto a los parlamentarios Gustavo Espinoza y Rocío Gonzáles, asegurando que ésta no será violentista y presentará propuestas al gobierno buscando preservar la democracia.
Iglesia Católica: Apra debe ejecutar las recomendaciones de la Comisión de la Verdad y Reconciliación (CVR)
Monseñor Miguel Cabrejos, presidente de la Conferencia Episcopal Peruana (CEP) y arzobispo de Trujillo, pidió continuar con el plan de reparaciones para las víctimas de la violencia política.
Nelson Palomino de “Kuska Perú” se reúne con Alan García
Continuando su serie de encuentros con dirigentes de agrupaciones políticas y sociales, el presidente electo Alan García recibe hoy al líder cocalero Nelson Palomino, recientemente excarcelado, quien acaba de presentar su movimiento político “Kuska Perú”, y con Ulises Humala. Por otro lado, el líder de UPP, Ollanta Humala, pidió explicaciones a los congresistas de su bancada que asistieron a creación del partido del dirigente cocalero.
Ollanta Humala: Alianza con UPP no es indispensable para su proyecto político
UN y Frente de Centro aliados del Apra en el Congreso
Si se suman los votos de los parlamentarios del Apra (36) con los de Unidad Nacional (17) y los del Frente de Centro (9) da como resultado 62 adhesiones, garantizando su gobernabilidad parlamentaria.
Mirko Lauer: Claves para entender al Alan García político
UPP y PNP ratifican alianza política, pero se presenta nueva corriente: Kuska Perú
Aunque Unión Por el Perú (UPP) y el Partido Nacionalista Peruano (PNP) ratificaron su alianza, su bancada ha sufrido la irrupción de una nueva corriente denominada Kuska Perú, una facción constituida por congresistas que representan a los cocaleros dirigida por el dirigente cocalero Nelson Palomino. El plenario no estuvo ajeno a incidentes violentos, Upepistas oficialistas se enfrentaron a golpes con personas relacionadas a Torres Caro.
Se inicia proceso de transferencia al gobierno aprista
Pugna por liderazgo de alianza UPP-PNP
A horas de su plenario decisivo, la alianza Unión Por el Perú (UPP)-Partido Nacionalista Peruano (PNP) está en crisis. El presidente de UPP, Aldo Estrada, manifestó que si se renueva la alianza con el Partido Nacionalista será con él como líder, mientras que para José Vega, secretario general de PNP, el líder es Ollanta Humala.
Partido Aprista da por cancelada reunión García-Humala
Alan García recibió credencial presidencial
Alan García with vice presidents (elect) Luis Giampietri & Lourdes Mendoza del Solar
Source: La República, 22 de junio del 2006
Alan García recibió del Jurado Nacional de Elecciones la credencial que lo acredita como ganador de las últimas elecciones presidenciales. Manifestó el deseo de llevar adelante un gobierno con la participación de todos los sectores posibles, de amplia base.
Corre riesgo de cancelarse reunión García-Humala
Carlos Torres Caro no ejercerá cargos en nombre de UPP
El legislador más votado de Unión por el Perú (UPP), Carlos Torres Caro, durante el quinquenio 2006-2011 no ejercerá ningún cargo directivo en nombre del grupo parlamentario y su bancada lo fiscalizará durante el tiempo de su mandato. Torres Caro defendió su derecho a presidir las Juntas Preparatorias porque la ley establece que le corresponde asumir dicho cargo.
Apoyo: Expectativas sobre el futuro segundo gobierno del APRA
Source: El Comercio, 18 de junio del 2006
Source: El Comercio, 18 de junio del 2006
Source: El Comercio, 18 de junio del 2006
Source: El Comercio, 18 de junio del 2006
El “Mea Culpa” de Ollanta Humala
El ex candidato por Unión por el Perú, Ollanta Humala, reconoció los errores que lo llevaron a ser derrotado por el Partido Aprista en la segunda vuelta, anunciando que no violentará el gobierno de Alan García y que lo felicitará por su triunfo.
¿Una ley para sancionar a los tránsfugas?
Repercusiones por la renuncia de Carlos Torres Caro
En conferencia de prensa, Ollanta Humala calificó la salida de Carlos Torres Caro, Isaac Meckler, Rocío Gonzales y Gustavo Espinoza como un “acto de deslealtad” hacia el proyecto llamado Frente Nacionalista, mientras que el padre del ex candidato a la presidencia, Isaac Humala, calificó de “parásito, piojo, comodín y aventurero” al virtual congresista de la república y Aldo Estrada, ha advertido que no es ningún “incondicional” de Humala y que no le permitirá ningún intento de boicot al gobierno aprista. El futuro partido de gobierno manifestó que no se negará a conversar con Torres Caro.
Carlos Meléndez (IEP) sobre el “Outsider Perdedor”
¿Lourdes Flores candidata el 2011?
El congresista Xavier Barrón planteó la reelección de Lourdes Flores Nano como próximo presidente del Partido Popular Cristiano (PPC), para el periodo 2007-2011, alegando que “no existe nadie que la pueda reemplazar en el puesto”.
Carlos Torres Caro abandona alianza PNP-UPP
Se agrava la crisis. Carlos Torres Caro, ex candidato a la segunda vicepresidencia de Ollanta Humala, se constituyó en el primer disidente de la alianza PNP-UPP debido a creación del Frente Nacionalista. En una conferencia de prensa que ofreció en el Hotel Bolívar manifestó que se lleva a cinco congresistas, César Pajares, Vicky Leiva, Javier Cáceres, y los asesores Jorge Quevedo y Víctor Girao; y buscará captar a otros congresistas y sectores leales a Unión Por el Perú. Por otro lado, José Vega, dirigente de UPP, aseguró que la salida de ellos es un caso aislado y Antauro Humala apoya este retiro considerándolos verdaderos “nacionalistas”. Hoy día, Ollanta Humala ofrecería una conferencia de prensa para pronunciarse al respecto.
Luis Castañeda y Humberto Lay se reúnen con Alan García
Los lideres de Solidaridad Nacional y Restauración Nacional, Luis Castañeda Lossio y Humberto Lay se reunieron con el virtual Presidente de la República para expresarle su saludo, aunque la prensa comenzó a especular sobre posibles alianzas y apoyos para futuros procesos electorales.
Alan Garcia on Strategy, Power, and Governability
Maxwell A. Cameron
June 11, 2006
Photos: M.A. Cameron
In a meeting with the foreign press on Friday, June 9, Alan Garcia was asked about his admiration for François Mitterrand. The reporter mentioned that Ollanta Humala professes admiration for Napoleon Bonaparte and Charles De Gaulle, and he wondered whether Garcia would reflect on the tension between military men and social democrats.
Garcia said that military commanders tend to give commands and orders; they value order and “verticalize” society. Since the public rejects the tendency of democratic decision-making to be slow, the challenge is to demonstrate that democracy can operate within an authoritative and efficient state.
But Garcia said that it does not take a military man to govern with authority and energy, and this is why he admired Mitterrand. In addition to being an egalitarian republican and a socialist, Mitterrand also had superior tactical and strategic capacity. That Garcia identified closely with Mitterrand in this respect was made manifest in his statement that “a civilian can be a better tactician than a military man”—an obvious allusion to Humala.
Asked about the nature of power, Garcia said that power equals blame. Whoever has power is immediately blamed for everything. Therefore, who shares power also shares blame. Power never belongs to a single person or party. He cited political scientist Robert Dahl’s Who Governs? to make the case that in all democratic decisions power is distributed across a wide range of institutions. The politicians who have known how to share power, such as Mitterrand and Bill Clinton, have completed their terms as winners. “Whoever shares power, ends up winning” he said.
Concerning the challenges of governability facing the country, Garcia rejected the idea that he has to privilege the southern highlands where voters rejected him in favour of Humala. He insisted that he has won 7 million votes and is not going in “Humalize” himself (“no me voy a humalizar”). “Let us not forget the majoritarian message of the electorate. My first commitment is to my program and my electorate.”
Garcia also had harsh words for Humala for refusing to accept defeat gracefully. “He does not know how to lose. If one does not have greatness, one cannot lose with greatness. I regret that so many Peruvians have given their votes to people who don’t know how to lose.”
“The waters have returned to their normal level,” said Garcia with respect to the outcome of the election. That is, in spite of fears of an “irruption of something irrational” during the election, the result has been sealed without any disorder. If Humala persists in intransigent opposition Garcia said he would respond with the law. He called Humala someone who has recently left the barracks and needs to learn democratic habits.
Alan García solicita a Ollanta Humala cita concertadora
UPP y UN se disputan Comisión de Fiscalización del Congreso
John Crabtree: The Return of Alan Garcia
Ollanta Humala’s Hardline Opposition
Ollanta Humala may have lost the presidential election, but he received 47.5 percent of the popular vote, he heads the party, Union Por el Peru (UPP), that won the largest number of seats in congress (45 of 120), and he won a majority of the vote in 15 of the 25 departments in Peru. Humala is a force to contend with. The question is, what kind of force will he be?
Early indications are that he will be a tough opponent. He refuses to congratulate Alan Garcia on his victory; he expresses no confidence that the Garcia government will be a good government; he rejects the idea of a 100 day truce with the new government; and he says he will lead opposition to the FTA in the streets as well as in congress. Humala also plans to field candidates in the municipal and regional governments in November this year, and he has proposed the creation of a Nationalist, Democratic, and Popuular Front (FDNP). He says the front will be nationalist rather than leftist.
There are also early indications that it will be hard to hold together the disparate elements within the UPP. A series of fights have already broken out. The first dispute occurred when Aldo Estrada, a founder of UPP, said that now the elections are over Humala is not his leader. This dispute has been papered over, but it no doubt reflects deeper divisions between older members of the UPP and the newer members, many from the Nationalist Party of Peru, who joined when Humala assumed the leadership of UPP. The second dispute has broken out between Carlos Torres Caro and left-wing leaders, notably Carlos Tapia, that joined UPP during the campaign. Torres Caro appears to believe that Tapia the left wing are behind the idea of the FDNP.
The role of the opposition is critical in a democracy. A strong opposition will be necessary to keep the executive honest. Playing the role of opposition will give Humala a chance to demonstrate his ability to work within the democratic system.
Debate on Parties, Preferential Vote and Electoral Threshold
Most of the action on this blog today is in the “comments” section under the posting on “Constructive but Fragmented Opposition in Congress” below.
Lima Decided the Second Round Outcome
Rici has provided tables with the latest numbers. Download file
He writes:
“I changed the colour-coding so that the department is just coloured according to the majority winner, regardless of whether they got 50% or not, which makes it easier to compare the results to the 2001 second round (also included). There are lots of things that could be said about the comparative results, but the most interesting observation is how similar the two elections were, outside of Lima.”
He also provided the comparable results from 2001. Download file
“In 2001, Perú Posible won 16 departments plus Lima. In 2006, UPP won 15 departments. The ten departments in ‘the excluded south,’ as mapped by La República today, are on both of these lists. (Apurímac, Arequipa, Ayacucho, Cusco, Huancavelica, Junín, Madre de Díos, Moquegua, Puno, Tacna). So are Amazonas, Huánuco and Loreto. The margins of victory are comparable, although generally more dramatic in the 2006 election.
However, when you look at Lima, the picture changes completely.
Note also that the number of blank/null votes was much higher in 2001.”
Just to drive the point home, I think it is fair to say that the big contrast between 2001 and 2006 is the voting behaviour of Lima, especially the poor voters. The fact that APRA carried Lima–every single district of Lima–in 2006 decided the outcome of this election.
Crisis within UPP
Only two days have passed since the runoff presidential election on June 4 and already disputes are breaking out within the Union For Peru (UPP) party. Aldo Estrada, founder of UPP, says that Ollanta Humala is no longer his leader. At issue appears to be Humala’s call for the formation of a National Democratic and Popular Front. Carlos Tapia has accused the American Popular Revolutionary Alliance (APRA) of seeking to exploit divisions within the UPP. Jorge Del Castillo of APRA says that Humala announced the front without consulting UPP, and this, not meddling by APRA, has produced divisions. There are 19 members of congress who come from UPP, the remainder of the 45 seats are held by those loyal to the Peruvian Nationalist Party (PNP) of Humala.
Juan Carlos Tafur warns Humala against following Evo Morales and seeking to destabilize the APRA government. The comparison is not apt: Humala lacks the support of a powerful indigenous movement and an organized political party. His main goal should be to build a strong mass party organization.
Constructive but Fragmented Opposition in Congress
In spite of the new electoral law that established a 4 percent threshold that must be achieved by parties in order to hold a seat in congress, the congress that will be inaugurated on July 28, 2006, will be highly fragmented because many of its new members were elected as representatives of alliances that are already showing signs of disunity. As the only disciplined party in congress, APRA is likely to be able to cut short term, informal deals on specific issues with many smaller groups, however, it will be hampered after the brief 100 day honey moon period offered by some legislators by the high level of legislative fragmentation.
APRA favorecerá a pueblos del sur del país
Source: La República, 07 de junio del 2006
Whither Garcia?
Alan Garcia promises that the next minister of finance will be neither a statist nor a globalist. He is open to debating the Free Trade Agreement with the United States in the next congress, and has said he has no interest in leading a movement against President Hugo Chavez of Venezuela. In fact, having won the elections, Garcia demonstrated little interest in continuing the dispute with Chavez.
Santiago Pedraglio asks whether Garcia will govern from the right or the center-left, like Lula and Michelle Bachelet. He warns that the biggest opposition to his government will come from the left, and hence he would be wise not to govern from the right. Meanwhile, the challenge on the left is to build an organized political movement.
Results at 97 percent
Courtesy of Rici, we have results at 97.173%, extracted from ONPE’s web pages (uploaded by ONPE at 6:30 a.m.).
Rici writes: “García’s majority is now 666,266. There are 472,378 voters in mesas which have not been counted plus 2,237 challenged votes. So it is now mathematically certain that García won.” Download file
“For comparison, I’ve included the summary of the first round (Resumen1.pdf) in roughly the same format (also using percentage of total votes, not valid votes).” Download file
At 97.46% of the votes computed, 52.5 percent favor Garcia and 47.5 percent favor Humala.
Tregua política al APRA
APRA: Measures Proposed for the First 100 Days
Mauricio Mulder se ha opuesto energicamente a la conformacion de asociaciones de trabajadores apristas (ATA). El APRA propone para sus primeros 100 dias medidas que fomenten austeridad en la burocracia estatal, reactivacion del banco agrario, dinamizar el banco de la Nacion, licitacion de carreteras, creacion de una zona franca en Puno.
La agenda Humalista: Frente Nacionalista Democrático y Popular (FNDP)
These are some latest developments:
– A “co-government” scenario between Union por el Peru-APRA is out of the picture. Instead, UPP and the Nationalist Party will form a new alliance to participate in November elections: Frente Nacionalista Democrático y Popular (FNDP). This front will focus on calling upon the independent left and not the leadership of established political parties such as the Socialist Party and Movimiento Nueva Izquierda.
– 19 newly elected congresspersons, originally UPP, may leave the nationalist alliance to represent their party interests in congress. UPP leaders do not favour a FNDP. A decision will be taken on June 17.
– Gonzalo Garcia is being discussed as a candidate for mayor of Lima.
El día después para los nacionalistas
Hugo Passarello Luna
5 de junio del 2006
Fotos de H. Passarello Luna
Luego de conocerse los resultados oficiales de la ONPE ayer por la noche el centro de campaña nacional del UPP fue testigo de un continuo exilio de ‘militantes.’ Parecía que como tan rápido se llenaron las filas del nacionalismo así se comenzaba a vaciar.
Para cuando Humala se retiro de su centro estaban junto a él sus más fieles seguidores y un solo fotógrafo: yo. El “Comandante” se retiraba con una esforzada sonrisa.
El día después fue tranquilo para los humalistas. Quizás por el aplomado cansancio de esta dura campaña o quizás por el dolor de la derrota, el cuartel general estuvo mas tranquilo que lo habitual, con menos visitas y con algunas luces apagadas.
Ya faltaban muchos de aquellos que tan ávidamente habían corrido junto a Humala.
Los que todavía seguían allí y los que llamaban por teléfono compartían la misma pregunta: ¿Y ahora qué?
La siempre dificil relacion con la prensa
Durante el día se vivió solo un pequeño incidente cuando un simpatizante que llegaba al centro agravio a los periodistas presentes con un insultos y amenazas. Ese sentimiento de decepción con los medios fue mas virulento la noche anterior cuando, luego que Humala aceptara los resultados de la ONPE, la prensa se retiro en una lluvia de insultos y algún que otro forcejeo con los simpatizantes que estaban fuera del centro de campaña. “Prensa corrupta”, “Amarillos” y demás adjetivos fueron lanzados contra los periodistas.
Analysis of Election Results
Alan García virtual Presidente del Perú
Ollanta Humala: Una Victoria Social y Politica
Issac & Elena Humala in Local & International Media
APRA: Armando un gabinete de concentración, díalogo y apertura
22:10 pm Ollanta Humala Conceded
In a very brief speech (no more than five minutes), Ollanta Humala conceded to a crowd of followers and supporters this evening. He recognized all the political parties that competed in this election and said to the crowd that he was looking forward to starting the great transformation of Peru.
Here is the downloadble video of his speech:
21:00 pm Humala Does not Accept Defeat…Yet
Ollanta Humala is delivering a speech with a different tone this time. While his earlier speech was measured, this time he attacked Alan Garcia for giving a winning speech prior to knowing the results from ONPE. He has not accepted defeat yet. Humala is also stressing his victory in 15 departments. Broadcasting of Humala’s speech was been interrupted to give space to ONPE results.