By Julian Dierkes
In response to some discussions on Twitter, I now offer this prediction board in three categories, time to election of new PM, coalition that will elect the new PM, and the new PM.
While individuals may choose to enter into private wagers on these matters, my employer, I, and anyone putting their name down for an option do not condone illegal gambling.
Remember that I’m collecting guesses of who will be elected how, not endorsements. These are not opinions on who should be PM, but guesses as to who will be.
Time to Election of PM
Before Nov 14: @MBBontoi | @SJJargalsaikhan | @temuulen384
Nov 15-21: @jdierkes | @TsogtbaatarB | @Taitamco | @Sainbayar_John
Nov 22-28: @ncousyn
After Nov 28: Jangar | @civicmongolia
PM Elected
R Amarjargal: @SJJargalsaikhan
E Bat-Uul: Jangar | @swickhamsmith
S Bayartsogt: @altanalim (1/2)
D Dorligjav: @TsogtbaatarB (1/3)
Z Enkbold: @TsogtbaatarB (1/3) | @JamesMNHarris | @altanalim (1/2) | @temuulen384 (1/2) | @allysonseaborn
[Note that Enkhbold has ruled himself out!]
L Gantumuur: @ebulgand (1/2)
Ch Saikhanbileg: @lutaa01 | @ebulgand (1/2) | @TsogtbaatarB (1/3) | @Taitamco | @temuulen384 (1/2) | @MBBontoi | @civicmongolia
Coalition Electing PM
DP-Justice Coalition-CWGP: @MBBontoi
DP-MPP: @TsogtbaatarB | @jdierkes | @Taitamco | @temuulen384
MPP-DP:
MPP-other parties:
Your Guess?
Join the fun and tweet your guess using #MGLpoli to mark your guess. I’ll try to keep track of guesses tweeted with that hashtag.
November 21 2014: The Results
Barring yet another twist & turn, the Nov 21 election of Saikhanbileg by the continuing coalition of DP + Justice Coalition + CWGP means the following guesses were winning guesses:
Time to Election of PM
Nov 15-21: @jdierkes | @TsogtbaatarB | @Taitamco | @Sainbayar_John
PM Elected
Ch Saikhanbileg: @lutaa01 | @ebulgand | @TsogtbaatarB | @Taitamco | @temuulen384 | @MBBontoi | @civicmongolia
Coalition Electing PM
DP-Justice Coalition-CWGP: @MBBontoi
Time-will be nominated this week to be formalized in another 2 weeks.
PM candidates-Z.E, Ch.Saikhanbileg,Dorligjav
Coalition-DP, MPP
I think it will be Bat-Uul.
Hopefully PM will be elected until lunar new year.
Looks like it will be Amarjargal.